Nations League | League B
Sep 24, 2022 at 5pm UK
Arena Petrol
We said: Slovenia 1-2 Norway
We expect to see a closely-fought encounter in Slovenia on Saturday, but the visitors' greater quality in midfield and attack is likely to prove the difference in the end.
Norway could secure promotion to League A with a victory, so Haaland is likely to be more motivated than ever to add to his tally of 20 international goals and counting.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norway win with a probability of 39.03%. A win for Slovenia had a probability of 36.79% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Norway win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.47%) and 0-2 (5.74%). The likeliest Slovenia win was 2-1 (8.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.1%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.
| Result |
| Slovenia | Draw | Norway |
36.79% ( 0.27) | 24.18% ( -0.07) | 39.03% ( -0.2) |
| Both teams to score 60.77% ( 0.3) |
| 58.23% ( 0.37) | 41.76% ( -0.37) |
| 35.83% ( 0.37) | 64.17% ( -0.37) |
| 77.39% ( 0.31) | 22.61% ( -0.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 43.78% ( 0.45) | 56.22% ( -0.45) |
| 78.52% ( 0.07) | 21.48% ( -0.07) |
