Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 74.06%. A draw had a probability of 15.6% and a win for Oldham Athletic had a probability of 10.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.25%) and 2-1 (9.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.28%), while for a Oldham Athletic win it was 1-2 (3.08%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Wrexham would win this match.
Result | ||
Wrexham | Draw | Oldham Athletic |
74.06% ( 0.07) | 15.64% ( -0.01) | 10.3% ( -0.05) |
Both teams to score 52.55% ( -0.14) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
65.72% ( -0.08) | 34.28% ( 0.09) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
43.82% ( -0.09) | 56.18% ( 0.1) |
Wrexham Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
92.11% | 7.9% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
72.07% ( -0.01) | 27.94% ( 0.02) |
Oldham Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
57.06% ( -0.15) | 42.95% ( 0.16) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
20.76% ( -0.13) | 79.25% ( 0.13) |
Score Analysis |
Wrexham | Draw | Oldham Athletic |
2-0 @ 10.92% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 9.25% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 9.24% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8.61% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 7.82% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 5.87% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 4.96% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.3% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 2.98% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 2.52% ( -0) 4-2 @ 2.1% ( -0.01) 6-0 @ 1.26% ( 0) 6-1 @ 1.07% ( -0) 5-2 @ 1.07% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.1% Total : 74.05% | 1-1 @ 7.28% ( -0) 2-2 @ 3.9% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 3.39% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 0.93% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.14% Total : 15.64% | 1-2 @ 3.08% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 2.87% ( 0) 0-2 @ 1.21% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.1% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.05% Total : 10.3% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Chesterfield | 46 | 31 | 5 | 10 | 106 | 65 | 41 | 98 |
2 | Barnet | 46 | 26 | 8 | 12 | 91 | 60 | 31 | 86 |
3 | Bromley | 46 | 22 | 15 | 9 | 73 | 49 | 24 | 81 |
4 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 84 | 59 | 25 | 77 |
5 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 46 | 21 | 13 | 12 | 71 | 62 | 9 | 76 |
6 | Gateshead | 46 | 22 | 9 | 15 | 88 | 64 | 24 | 75 |
7 | Halifax TownHalifax | 46 | 19 | 14 | 13 | 58 | 50 | 8 | 71 |
8 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 46 | 20 | 9 | 17 | 74 | 83 | -9 | 69 |
9 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 46 | 21 | 12 | 13 | 70 | 45 | 25 | 65 |
10 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 46 | 15 | 18 | 13 | 63 | 60 | 3 | 63 |
11 | Rochdale | 46 | 16 | 14 | 16 | 69 | 64 | 5 | 62 |
12 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 46 | 17 | 9 | 20 | 70 | 82 | -12 | 60 |
13 | Eastleigh | 46 | 16 | 11 | 19 | 73 | 87 | -14 | 59 |
14 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 46 | 15 | 13 | 18 | 60 | 67 | -7 | 58 |
15 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 46 | 14 | 14 | 18 | 69 | 63 | 6 | 56 |
16 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 46 | 15 | 11 | 20 | 60 | 72 | -12 | 56 |
17 | Woking | 46 | 15 | 10 | 21 | 49 | 55 | -6 | 55 |
18 | Fylde | 46 | 15 | 10 | 21 | 74 | 82 | -8 | 55 |
19 | Ebbsfleet | 46 | 14 | 12 | 20 | 59 | 74 | -15 | 54 |
20 | York City | 46 | 12 | 17 | 17 | 55 | 69 | -14 | 53 |
21 | Boreham WoodBoreham Wood | 46 | 12 | 16 | 18 | 59 | 73 | -14 | 52 |
22 | Kidderminster HarriersKidderminster | 46 | 11 | 13 | 22 | 40 | 59 | -19 | 46 |
23 | Dorking WanderersDorking | 46 | 12 | 9 | 25 | 54 | 85 | -31 | 45 |
24 | Oxford CityOxford City | 46 | 8 | 9 | 29 | 54 | 94 | -40 | 33 |
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