Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southend United win with a probability of 61.03%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Ebbsfleet had a probability of 17.69%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southend United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.36%) and 2-1 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.06%), while for a Ebbsfleet win it was 0-1 (5.1%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Southend United would win this match.
Result | ||
Southend United | Draw | Ebbsfleet |
61.03% ( -2.18) | 21.29% ( 0.73) | 17.69% ( 1.45) |
Both teams to score 53.14% ( 0.63) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.22% ( -0.69) | 43.78% ( 0.69) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.83% ( -0.68) | 66.17% ( 0.68) |
Southend United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.13% ( -0.87) | 13.86% ( 0.87) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
58.74% ( -1.74) | 41.26% ( 1.74) |
Ebbsfleet Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.69% ( 1.34) | 38.3% ( -1.34) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.94% ( 1.27) | 75.06% ( -1.27) |
Score Analysis |
Southend United | Draw | Ebbsfleet |
1-0 @ 10.49% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 10.36% ( -0.36) 2-1 @ 9.95% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 6.83% ( -0.47) 3-1 @ 6.55% ( -0.2) 4-0 @ 3.37% ( -0.35) 4-1 @ 3.24% ( -0.21) 3-2 @ 3.14% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.55% ( -0.04) 5-0 @ 1.33% ( -0.19) 5-1 @ 1.28% ( -0.13) Other @ 2.92% Total : 61.02% | 1-1 @ 10.06% ( 0.33) 0-0 @ 5.31% ( 0.16) 2-2 @ 4.77% ( 0.18) 3-3 @ 1.01% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.13% Total : 21.28% | 0-1 @ 5.1% ( 0.33) 1-2 @ 4.83% ( 0.33) 0-2 @ 2.45% ( 0.24) 1-3 @ 1.55% ( 0.16) 2-3 @ 1.53% ( 0.11) Other @ 2.24% Total : 17.69% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Chesterfield | 46 | 31 | 5 | 10 | 106 | 65 | 41 | 98 |
2 | Barnet | 46 | 26 | 8 | 12 | 91 | 60 | 31 | 86 |
3 | Bromley | 46 | 22 | 15 | 9 | 73 | 49 | 24 | 81 |
4 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 84 | 59 | 25 | 77 |
5 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 46 | 21 | 13 | 12 | 71 | 62 | 9 | 76 |
6 | Gateshead | 46 | 22 | 9 | 15 | 88 | 64 | 24 | 75 |
7 | Halifax TownHalifax | 46 | 19 | 14 | 13 | 58 | 50 | 8 | 71 |
8 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 46 | 20 | 9 | 17 | 74 | 83 | -9 | 69 |
9 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 46 | 21 | 12 | 13 | 70 | 45 | 25 | 65 |
10 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 46 | 15 | 18 | 13 | 63 | 60 | 3 | 63 |
11 | Rochdale | 46 | 16 | 14 | 16 | 69 | 64 | 5 | 62 |
12 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 46 | 17 | 9 | 20 | 70 | 82 | -12 | 60 |
13 | Eastleigh | 46 | 16 | 11 | 19 | 73 | 87 | -14 | 59 |
14 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 46 | 15 | 13 | 18 | 60 | 67 | -7 | 58 |
15 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 46 | 14 | 14 | 18 | 69 | 63 | 6 | 56 |
16 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 46 | 15 | 11 | 20 | 60 | 72 | -12 | 56 |
17 | Woking | 46 | 15 | 10 | 21 | 49 | 55 | -6 | 55 |
18 | Fylde | 46 | 15 | 10 | 21 | 74 | 82 | -8 | 55 |
19 | Ebbsfleet | 46 | 14 | 12 | 20 | 59 | 74 | -15 | 54 |
20 | York City | 46 | 12 | 17 | 17 | 55 | 69 | -14 | 53 |
21 | Boreham WoodBoreham Wood | 46 | 12 | 16 | 18 | 59 | 73 | -14 | 52 |
22 | Kidderminster HarriersKidderminster | 46 | 11 | 13 | 22 | 40 | 59 | -19 | 46 |
23 | Dorking WanderersDorking | 46 | 12 | 9 | 25 | 54 | 85 | -31 | 45 |
24 | Oxford CityOxford City | 46 | 8 | 9 | 29 | 54 | 94 | -40 | 33 |
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