Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gateshead win with a probability of 42.45%. A win for Aldershot Town had a probability of 32.7% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gateshead win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.86%) and 0-2 (6.8%). The likeliest Aldershot Town win was 2-1 (7.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Gateshead would win this match.
Result | ||
Aldershot Town | Draw | Gateshead |
32.7% ( -0) | 24.85% ( 0) | 42.45% ( -0) |
Both teams to score 57.44% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.29% ( -0.01) | 45.71% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.97% ( -0.01) | 68.03% ( 0.01) |
Aldershot Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.22% ( -0.01) | 26.78% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.94% ( -0.01) | 62.06% ( 0.01) |
Gateshead Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.45% ( -0) | 21.55% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.37% ( -0.01) | 54.63% ( 0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Aldershot Town | Draw | Gateshead |
2-1 @ 7.69% ( -0) 1-0 @ 7.6% ( 0) 2-0 @ 5.01% ( 0) 3-1 @ 3.38% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.59% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.2% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.11% ( -0) Other @ 3.12% Total : 32.7% | 1-1 @ 11.67% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.9% ( -0) 0-0 @ 5.77% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.33% Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.85% | 1-2 @ 8.96% 0-1 @ 8.86% ( 0) 0-2 @ 6.8% ( 0) 1-3 @ 4.58% ( -0) 0-3 @ 3.48% ( 0) 2-3 @ 3.02% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.76% 0-4 @ 1.33% 2-4 @ 1.16% ( -0) Other @ 2.52% Total : 42.45% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Chesterfield | 46 | 31 | 5 | 10 | 106 | 65 | 41 | 98 |
2 | Barnet | 46 | 26 | 8 | 12 | 91 | 60 | 31 | 86 |
3 | Bromley | 46 | 22 | 15 | 9 | 73 | 49 | 24 | 81 |
4 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 84 | 59 | 25 | 77 |
5 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 46 | 21 | 13 | 12 | 71 | 62 | 9 | 76 |
6 | Gateshead | 46 | 22 | 9 | 15 | 88 | 64 | 24 | 75 |
7 | Halifax TownHalifax | 46 | 19 | 14 | 13 | 58 | 50 | 8 | 71 |
8 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 46 | 20 | 9 | 17 | 74 | 83 | -9 | 69 |
9 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 46 | 21 | 12 | 13 | 70 | 45 | 25 | 65 |
10 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 46 | 15 | 18 | 13 | 63 | 60 | 3 | 63 |
11 | Rochdale | 46 | 16 | 14 | 16 | 69 | 64 | 5 | 62 |
12 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 46 | 17 | 9 | 20 | 70 | 82 | -12 | 60 |
13 | Eastleigh | 46 | 16 | 11 | 19 | 73 | 87 | -14 | 59 |
14 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 46 | 15 | 13 | 18 | 60 | 67 | -7 | 58 |
15 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 46 | 14 | 14 | 18 | 69 | 63 | 6 | 56 |
16 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 46 | 15 | 11 | 20 | 60 | 72 | -12 | 56 |
17 | Woking | 46 | 15 | 10 | 21 | 49 | 55 | -6 | 55 |
18 | Fylde | 46 | 15 | 10 | 21 | 74 | 82 | -8 | 55 |
19 | Ebbsfleet | 46 | 14 | 12 | 20 | 59 | 74 | -15 | 54 |
20 | York City | 46 | 12 | 17 | 17 | 55 | 69 | -14 | 53 |
21 | Boreham WoodBoreham Wood | 46 | 12 | 16 | 18 | 59 | 73 | -14 | 52 |
22 | Kidderminster HarriersKidderminster | 46 | 11 | 13 | 22 | 40 | 59 | -19 | 46 |
23 | Dorking WanderersDorking | 46 | 12 | 9 | 25 | 54 | 85 | -31 | 45 |
24 | Oxford CityOxford City | 46 | 8 | 9 | 29 | 54 | 94 | -40 | 33 |
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