National League North | Gameweek 40
Mar 16, 2024 at 3pm UK
St James Park
Brackley Town2 - 0Hereford
Roberts (12'), Lilley (82')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the National League North clash between Brackley Town and Hereford United.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Rushall Olympic 0-2 Brackley Town
Tuesday, March 12 at 7.45pm in National League North
Tuesday, March 12 at 7.45pm in National League North
Goals
for
for
48
Last Game: Hereford 3-3 Alfreton
Tuesday, March 12 at 7.45pm in National League North
Tuesday, March 12 at 7.45pm in National League North
Goals
for
for
51
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brackley Town win with a probability of 50.24%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Hereford United had a probability of 24.18%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brackley Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.49%) and 2-1 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.13%), while for a Hereford United win it was 0-1 (7.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brackley Town would win this match.
Result | ||
Brackley Town | Draw | Hereford United |
50.24% ( -0.02) | 25.58% ( 0) | 24.18% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 49.3% ( 0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.36% ( -0) | 53.63% ( -0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.86% ( -0) | 75.13% ( -0) |
Brackley Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.62% ( -0.01) | 21.37% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.64% ( -0.01) | 54.35% ( 0.01) |
Hereford United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.7% ( 0.01) | 37.3% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.91% ( 0.01) | 74.08% ( -0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Brackley Town 50.24%
Hereford United 24.18%
Draw 25.58%
Brackley Town | Draw | Hereford United |
1-0 @ 12.3% 2-0 @ 9.49% ( -0) 2-1 @ 9.36% ( -0) 3-0 @ 4.88% ( -0) 3-1 @ 4.81% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.37% 4-0 @ 1.88% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.86% ( -0) 4-2 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.36% Total : 50.24% | 1-1 @ 12.13% 0-0 @ 7.97% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.62% ( 0) Other @ 0.86% Total : 25.58% | 0-1 @ 7.86% ( 0) 1-2 @ 5.98% ( 0) 0-2 @ 3.88% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.97% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.52% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.27% ( 0) Other @ 1.7% Total : 24.18% |
Head to Head
Nov 7, 2023 7.45pm
Apr 10, 2023 3pm
Sep 13, 2022 7.45pm
May 2, 2022 3pm
Jan 8, 2022 3pm
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-04-28 11:03:54
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Tamworth | 46 | 29 | 9 | 8 | 74 | 29 | 45 | 96 |
2 | Scunthorpe UnitedScunthorpe | 46 | 26 | 10 | 10 | 84 | 38 | 46 | 88 |
3 | Brackley Town | 46 | 25 | 10 | 11 | 65 | 37 | 28 | 85 |
4 | Chorley | 46 | 25 | 8 | 13 | 81 | 50 | 31 | 83 |
5 | Alfreton TownAlfreton | 46 | 23 | 11 | 12 | 76 | 50 | 26 | 80 |
6 | Boston UnitedBoston | 46 | 21 | 12 | 13 | 68 | 46 | 22 | 75 |
7 | Curzon AshtonCurzon Ashton | 46 | 21 | 12 | 13 | 62 | 49 | 13 | 75 |
8 | South Shields | 46 | 22 | 8 | 16 | 79 | 53 | 26 | 74 |
9 | Spennymoor TownSpennymoor | 46 | 22 | 8 | 16 | 74 | 62 | 12 | 74 |
10 | Chester FCChester | 46 | 18 | 15 | 13 | 58 | 37 | 21 | 69 |
11 | Hereford UnitedHereford | 46 | 20 | 9 | 17 | 62 | 66 | -4 | 69 |
12 | Warrington Town | 46 | 17 | 13 | 16 | 64 | 60 | 4 | 64 |
13 | Scarborough AthleticScarborough Ath | 46 | 18 | 10 | 18 | 53 | 55 | -2 | 64 |
14 | Buxton | 46 | 17 | 11 | 18 | 70 | 63 | 7 | 62 |
15 | Peterborough SportsP'boro Sports | 46 | 16 | 10 | 20 | 55 | 65 | -10 | 58 |
16 | Darlington | 46 | 16 | 8 | 22 | 52 | 72 | -20 | 56 |
17 | SouthportSouthport | 46 | 16 | 8 | 22 | 54 | 75 | -21 | 56 |
18 | King's Lynn TownKing's Lynn | 46 | 13 | 16 | 17 | 54 | 66 | -12 | 55 |
19 | Rushall Olympic | 46 | 15 | 9 | 22 | 61 | 73 | -12 | 54 |
20 | Farsley CelticFarsley Celtic | 46 | 13 | 14 | 19 | 40 | 59 | -19 | 53 |
21 | Blyth Spartans | 46 | 13 | 11 | 22 | 66 | 82 | -16 | 50 |
22 | Banbury UnitedBanbury | 46 | 10 | 8 | 28 | 38 | 86 | -48 | 38 |
23 | Gloucester CityGloucester City | 46 | 9 | 9 | 28 | 49 | 89 | -40 | 36 |
24 | Bishop's StortfordBishop's Stortford | 46 | 6 | 3 | 37 | 35 | 112 | -77 | 21 |
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