Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York Red Bulls win with a probability of 53.71%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for FC Cincinnati had a probability of 21.88%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York Red Bulls win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.99%) and 2-1 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.6%), while for a FC Cincinnati win it was 0-1 (6.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
New York Red Bulls | Draw | FC Cincinnati |
53.71% ( 0.04) | 24.41% ( 0) | 21.88% ( -0.04) |
Both teams to score 50.09% ( -0.06) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.75% ( -0.05) | 51.24% ( 0.05) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.92% ( -0.05) | 73.08% ( 0.04) |
New York Red Bulls Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.98% ( -0.01) | 19.01% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.42% ( -0.01) | 50.57% ( 0.01) |
FC Cincinnati Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.85% ( -0.07) | 38.14% ( 0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.09% ( -0.07) | 74.9% ( 0.06) |
Score Analysis |
New York Red Bulls | Draw | FC Cincinnati |
1-0 @ 12.03% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 9.99% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.63% ( -0) 3-0 @ 5.53% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5.33% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.57% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 2.3% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.21% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.07% ( -0) Other @ 3.05% Total : 53.7% | 1-1 @ 11.6% 0-0 @ 7.25% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.64% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.91% Total : 24.41% | 0-1 @ 6.99% ( 0) 1-2 @ 5.59% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 3.37% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.8% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.49% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.08% ( -0) Other @ 1.56% Total : 21.88% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 35 | 20 | 15 | 28 |
2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 16 | 10 | 6 | 27 |
3 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 24 | 19 | 5 | 23 |
4 | New York City FCNY City | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 16 | 15 | 1 | 20 |
5 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 14 | 13 | 1 | 20 |
6 | Toronto | 13 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 16 | 19 | -3 | 19 |
7 | Columbus Crew | 12 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 18 |
8 | DC United | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 17 |
9 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 22 | 21 | 1 | 14 |
10 | Nashville SCNashville | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 16 | 19 | -3 | 14 |
11 | Orlando City | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 13 |
12 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 16 | 15 | 1 | 12 |
13 | CF MontrealMontreal | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 12 |
14 | Chicago Fire | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 12 | 23 | -11 | 10 |
15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 9 | 22 | -13 | 7 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 22 | 11 | 11 | 25 |
2 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 21 |
3 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 24 | 19 | 5 | 21 |
4 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 21 |
5 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 21 | 18 | 3 | 21 |
6 | Austin FCAustin | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 15 | 1 | 19 |
7 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 18 | 14 | 4 | 18 |
8 | Houston DynamoHouston | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 17 |
9 | St Louis City | 12 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 18 | 17 | 1 | 16 |
10 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 13 |
11 | Portland TimbersPortland | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 25 | 27 | -2 | 13 |
12 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 11 |
13 | Dallas | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 11 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 13 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 22 | 32 | -10 | 10 |