Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portland Timbers win with a probability of 49.32%. A win for Colorado Rapids had a probability of 27.74% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portland Timbers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.94%) and 2-0 (7.22%). The likeliest Colorado Rapids win was 1-2 (6.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.42%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Portland Timbers would win this match.
Result | ||
Portland Timbers | Draw | Colorado Rapids |
49.32% ( -0.73) | 22.93% ( 0.17) | 27.74% ( 0.56) |
Both teams to score 61.23% ( -0.12) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.56% ( -0.37) | 39.44% ( 0.37) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.21% ( -0.39) | 61.79% ( 0.39) |
Portland Timbers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.77% ( -0.39) | 16.23% ( 0.4) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.25% ( -0.73) | 45.75% ( 0.73) |
Colorado Rapids Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.1% ( 0.2) | 26.9% ( -0.2) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.78% ( 0.26) | 62.22% ( -0.26) |
Score Analysis |
Portland Timbers | Draw | Colorado Rapids |
2-1 @ 9.48% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 7.94% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 7.22% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 5.74% ( -0.1) 3-0 @ 4.37% ( -0.1) 3-2 @ 3.77% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 2.61% ( -0.08) 4-0 @ 1.99% ( -0.08) 4-2 @ 1.71% ( -0.04) 5-1 @ 0.95% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.54% Total : 49.32% | 1-1 @ 10.42% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 6.22% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 4.37% ( 0.08) 3-3 @ 1.65% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.27% Total : 22.93% | 1-2 @ 6.84% ( 0.1) 0-1 @ 5.73% ( 0.13) 0-2 @ 3.76% ( 0.11) 1-3 @ 3% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 2.72% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.65% ( 0.06) 1-4 @ 0.98% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.05% Total : 27.74% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 35 | 20 | 15 | 27 |
2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 24 |
3 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 20 |
4 | Toronto | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 19 |
5 | DC United | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 17 |
6 | New York City FCNY City | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 17 |
7 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 17 |
8 | Columbus Crew | 11 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 15 |
9 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 14 |
10 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 14 | 2 | 12 |
11 | Orlando City | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 12 |
12 | CF MontrealMontreal | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 12 |
13 | Nashville SCNashville | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 11 |
14 | Chicago Fire | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 10 |
15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 9 | 22 | -13 | 7 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 20 | 11 | 9 | 22 |
2 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 20 |
3 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 20 |
4 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 18 |
5 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 22 | 19 | 3 | 18 |
6 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 18 |
7 | Houston DynamoHouston | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 17 |
8 | St Louis City | 11 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 18 | 15 | 3 | 16 |
9 | Austin FCAustin | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 16 |
10 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 13 |
11 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 11 |
12 | Dallas | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 11 |
13 | Portland TimbersPortland | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 10 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 10 |