Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Austin FC win with a probability of 56.94%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Portland Timbers had a probability of 20.01%.
The most likely scoreline for an Austin FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.22%) and 2-1 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.96%), while for a Portland Timbers win it was 0-1 (6.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Austin FC | Draw | Portland Timbers |
56.94% ( -0.29) | 23.06% ( 0.03) | 20.01% ( 0.26) |
Both teams to score 51.54% ( 0.33) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.03% ( 0.23) | 47.97% ( -0.22) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.86% ( 0.21) | 70.15% ( -0.2) |
Austin FC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.38% ( -0.02) | 16.62% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.55% ( -0.04) | 46.45% ( 0.04) |
Portland Timbers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.81% ( 0.41) | 38.19% ( -0.41) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.05% ( 0.4) | 74.95% ( -0.39) |
Score Analysis |
Austin FC | Draw | Portland Timbers |
1-0 @ 11.39% ( -0.11) 2-0 @ 10.22% ( -0.11) 2-1 @ 9.84% ( 0) 3-0 @ 6.11% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 5.89% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.83% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 2.74% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 2.64% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.27% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 0.98% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 0.95% ( -0) Other @ 2.07% Total : 56.94% | 1-1 @ 10.96% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.35% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 4.74% ( 0.05) 3-3 @ 0.91% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.11% Total : 23.06% | 0-1 @ 6.11% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 5.28% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 2.94% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 1.69% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 1.52% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 0.94% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.52% Total : 20.01% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 35 | 20 | 15 | 28 |
2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 16 | 10 | 6 | 27 |
3 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 24 | 19 | 5 | 23 |
4 | New York City FCNY City | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 16 | 15 | 1 | 20 |
5 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 14 | 13 | 1 | 20 |
6 | Toronto | 13 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 16 | 19 | -3 | 19 |
7 | Columbus Crew | 12 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 18 |
8 | DC United | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 17 |
9 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 22 | 21 | 1 | 14 |
10 | Nashville SCNashville | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 16 | 19 | -3 | 14 |
11 | Orlando City | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 13 |
12 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 16 | 15 | 1 | 12 |
13 | CF MontrealMontreal | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 12 |
14 | Chicago Fire | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 12 | 23 | -11 | 10 |
15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 9 | 22 | -13 | 7 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 22 | 11 | 11 | 25 |
2 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 21 |
3 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 24 | 19 | 5 | 21 |
4 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 21 |
5 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 21 | 18 | 3 | 21 |
6 | Austin FCAustin | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 15 | 1 | 19 |
7 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 18 | 14 | 4 | 18 |
8 | Houston DynamoHouston | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 17 |
9 | St Louis City | 12 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 18 | 17 | 1 | 16 |
10 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 13 |
11 | Portland TimbersPortland | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 25 | 27 | -2 | 13 |
12 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 11 |
13 | Dallas | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 11 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 13 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 22 | 32 | -10 | 10 |