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Major League Soccer
Jul 16, 2023 at 2.30am UK
Al Saqr Stadium
Sporting Kansas

Austin
2 - 1
Kansas

Zardes (17'), Finlay (19')
Cascante (59')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Rosero (33')
Fontas (8'), Vermes (9'), Davis (53')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Austin FC and Sporting Kansas City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Vancouver 2-1 Austin
Thursday, July 13 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Kansas 2-2 Salt Lake
Thursday, July 13 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Austin FC 2-0 Sporting Kansas City

Austin FC have been very impressive at home in recent weeks, winning their last two matches at the Q2 Stadium 3-0, and we expect them to record a comfortable victory again this Saturday. Although Wolff's side did lose to Sporting Kansas City back in April, they are three points above their opponents in the table, despite having played two fewer games.

How to watch

You can watch Austin FC vs. Sporting Kansas City and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Austin FC win with a probability of 53.76%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Sporting Kansas City had a probability of 22.59%.

The most likely scoreline for an Austin FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.77%) and 2-0 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.22%), while for a Sporting Kansas City win it was 0-1 (6.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Austin FC would win this match.

Result
Austin FCDrawSporting Kansas City
53.76% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01) 23.65% (0.0090000000000003 0.01) 22.59% (0.004999999999999 0)
Both teams to score 53.35% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.62% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)47.38% (0.032000000000004 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.4% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)69.6% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Austin FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.45% (-0.012 -0.01)17.54% (0.016000000000002 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.92% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)48.08% (0.029000000000003 0.03)
Sporting Kansas City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.7% (-0.0099999999999909 -0.01)35.3% (0.014000000000003 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.94% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)72.05% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Austin FC 53.75%
    Sporting Kansas City 22.59%
    Draw 23.65%
Austin FCDrawSporting Kansas City
1-0 @ 10.77% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.77% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
2-0 @ 9.38% (0.0019999999999989 0)
3-1 @ 5.67% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-0 @ 5.44% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 2.95% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
4-1 @ 2.47% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-0 @ 2.37% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-2 @ 1.28% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.66%
Total : 53.75%
1-1 @ 11.22% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.19% (0.008 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.09% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-3 @ 1.02% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 23.65%
0-1 @ 6.45% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-2 @ 5.84%
0-2 @ 3.36% (0.0020000000000002 0)
1-3 @ 2.03%
2-3 @ 1.77% (-0.002 -0)
0-3 @ 1.17% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 22.59%

How you voted: Austin vs Kansas

Austin FC
90.9%
Draw
9.1%
Sporting Kansas City
0.0%
11
Head to Head
Jun 11, 2023 1.30am
Kansas
4-1
Austin
Pulido (19', 57'), Castellanos (47'), Shelton (89')
Radoja (61'), Thommy (87')
Driussi (61')
Cascante (52'), Zardes (60')
Aug 14, 2022 2am
Austin
4-3
Kansas
Gabrielsen (68'), Driussi (90+5')
Agade (86'), Salloi (88')
Jul 31, 2022 1.30am
Kansas
0-2
Austin

Duke (39'), Sweat (73')
Duke (43')
Ring (45+1'), Driussi (90')
Cascante (25'), Pereira (38'), Urruti (42')
Nov 4, 2021 1am
Jun 12, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 18
Kansas
1-1
Austin
Salloi (71')
Walter (32')
Dominguez (26')
Besler (79'), Lima (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami1594236201631
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati149321911830
3New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls146532521423
4New York City FCNY City147251816223
5Toronto147162120122
6Columbus Crew135621913621
7Charlotte FCCharlotte FC146351413121
8Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia134542521417
9DC United144552024-417
10Orlando City134451520-516
11Nashville SCNashville133641720-315
12Atlanta UnitedAtlanta133461716113
13CF MontrealMontreal133371731-1412
14Chicago Fire142481326-1310
15New England RevolutionNew England12219925-167

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake1484227141328
2Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd127322114724
3Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy145722521422
4Austin FCAustin146441917222
5Los Angeles FCLos Angeles136342419521
6Colorado RapidsColorado146352423121
7Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver135441915419
8Houston DynamoHouston135351213-118
9St Louis City133731920-116
10Seattle SoundersSeattle143561617-114
11Portland TimbersPortland143472629-313
12Dallas123361317-412
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas132562124-311
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes1431102233-1110


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