Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Austin FC win with a probability of 53.76%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Sporting Kansas City had a probability of 22.59%.
The most likely scoreline for an Austin FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.77%) and 2-0 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.22%), while for a Sporting Kansas City win it was 0-1 (6.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Austin FC would win this match.
Result | ||
Austin FC | Draw | Sporting Kansas City |
53.76% ( -0.01) | 23.65% ( 0.01) | 22.59% ( 0) |
Both teams to score 53.35% ( -0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.62% ( -0.03) | 47.38% ( 0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.4% ( -0.02) | 69.6% ( 0.03) |
Austin FC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.45% ( -0.01) | 17.54% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.92% ( -0.02) | 48.08% ( 0.03) |
Sporting Kansas City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.7% ( -0.01) | 35.3% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.94% ( -0.01) | 72.05% ( 0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Austin FC | Draw | Sporting Kansas City |
1-0 @ 10.77% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.77% ( -0) 2-0 @ 9.38% ( 0) 3-1 @ 5.67% ( -0) 3-0 @ 5.44% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.95% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.47% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.37% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.28% ( -0) Other @ 3.66% Total : 53.75% | 1-1 @ 11.22% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.19% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.09% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.02% ( -0) Other @ 0.12% Total : 23.65% | 0-1 @ 6.45% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 5.84% 0-2 @ 3.36% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.03% 2-3 @ 1.77% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.17% ( 0) Other @ 1.98% Total : 22.59% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 36 | 20 | 16 | 31 |
2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 30 |
3 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 23 |
4 | New York City FCNY City | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 18 | 16 | 2 | 23 |
5 | Toronto | 14 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 21 | 20 | 1 | 22 |
6 | Columbus Crew | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 21 |
7 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 13 | 1 | 21 |
8 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 17 |
9 | DC United | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 24 | -4 | 17 |
10 | Orlando City | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 16 |
11 | Nashville SCNashville | 13 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 15 |
12 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 13 |
13 | CF MontrealMontreal | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 31 | -14 | 12 |
14 | Chicago Fire | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 13 | 26 | -13 | 10 |
15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 12 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 9 | 25 | -16 | 7 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 27 | 14 | 13 | 28 |
2 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 21 | 14 | 7 | 24 |
3 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 14 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 22 |
4 | Austin FCAustin | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 19 | 17 | 2 | 22 |
5 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 24 | 19 | 5 | 21 |
6 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 24 | 23 | 1 | 21 |
7 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 19 | 15 | 4 | 19 |
8 | Houston DynamoHouston | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 18 |
9 | St Louis City | 13 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 16 |
10 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 14 |
11 | Portland TimbersPortland | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 29 | -3 | 13 |
12 | Dallas | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 17 | -4 | 12 |
13 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 21 | 24 | -3 | 11 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 14 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 22 | 33 | -11 | 10 |