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Major League Soccer
Sep 21, 2023 at 12.30am UK
Stade Saputo
FC Cincinnati

Montreal
1 - 1
Cincinnati

Opoku (53')
Wanyama (34'), Sirois (90+5'), Offor (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Acosta (90+7' pen.)
Miazga (90'), Arias (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Major League Soccer clash between CF Montreal and FC Cincinnati, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Montreal 0-0 Chicago Fire
Sunday, September 17 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Philadelphia 2-2 Cincinnati
Sunday, September 17 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: CF Montreal 2-2 FC Cincinnati

The last five meetings between Cincinnati and Montreal have produced a combined 26 goals and we anticipate another action-packed contest at the Saputo Stadium. Noonan's men have been decent away from home in recent weeks and we predict that they will hold out for another share of the spoils.

How to watch

You can watch CF Montreal vs. FC Cincinnati and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CF Montreal win with a probability of 46.89%. A win for FC Cincinnati had a probability of 27.97% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a CF Montreal win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.32%) and 2-0 (8.13%). The likeliest FC Cincinnati win was 0-1 (7.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
CF MontrealDrawFC Cincinnati
46.89% (0.204 0.2) 25.14% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04) 27.97% (-0.161 -0.16)
Both teams to score 53.89% (0.023000000000003 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.81% (0.083999999999996 0.08)49.19% (-0.084000000000003 -0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.74% (0.077000000000002 0.08)71.26% (-0.075000000000003 -0.08)
CF Montreal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.99% (0.125 0.13)21% (-0.125 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.22% (0.193 0.19)53.78% (-0.191 -0.19)
FC Cincinnati Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.22% (-0.075999999999993 -0.08)31.77% (0.076999999999998 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.79% (-0.088000000000001 -0.09)68.2% (0.088999999999999 0.09)
Score Analysis
    CF Montreal 46.88%
    FC Cincinnati 27.97%
    Draw 25.14%
CF MontrealDrawFC Cincinnati
1-0 @ 10.41%
2-1 @ 9.32% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
2-0 @ 8.13% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
3-1 @ 4.85% (0.028 0.03)
3-0 @ 4.23% (0.033 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.78% (0.01 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.89% (0.018 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.65% (0.019 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.08% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 46.88%
1-1 @ 11.94% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
0-0 @ 6.67% (-0.024 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.34%
3-3 @ 1.06% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.14%
0-1 @ 7.65% (-0.042 -0.04)
1-2 @ 6.85% (-0.027 -0.03)
0-2 @ 4.39% (-0.033 -0.03)
1-3 @ 2.62% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.04% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 1.68% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 27.97%

How you voted: Montreal vs Cincinnati

CF Montreal
25.0%
Draw
37.5%
FC Cincinnati
37.5%
8
Head to Head
May 18, 2023 12.30am
May 29, 2022 12.30am
Montreal
4-3
Cincinnati
Waterman (21'), Quioto (45+4', 59' pen.), Choiniere (46')
Waterman (53'), Camacho (86'), Hamdy (90')
Moreno (12', 63'), Barreal (52')
Acosta (83'), Moreno (89')
Apr 2, 2022 9pm
Cincinnati
3-4
Montreal
Vazquez (12'), Johnston (20' og.), Acosta (61' pen.)
Gaddis (24'), Powell (28'), Blackett (90+1'), Acosta (90+4')
Mihailovic (17', 41'), Kamara (45+1'), Torres (67')
Waterman (70'), Breza (88'), Wanyama (90+4')
Aug 19, 2021 12.30am
Gameweek 27
Cincinnati
0-0
Montreal
Cruz (36'), Matarrita (62'), Acosta (89'), Brenner (90+4')
Maciel (22'), Choiniere (26'), Camacho (68'), Camacho (74')
Jul 18, 2021 12.30am
Gameweek 17
Montreal
5-4
Cincinnati
Hamdi Hussein Hafez (74')
Brenner (46')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami1594236201631
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati149321911830
3New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls146532521423
4New York City FCNY City147251816223
5Toronto147162120122
6Columbus Crew135621913621
7Charlotte FCCharlotte FC146351413121
8Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia134542521417
9DC United144552024-417
10Orlando City134451520-516
11Nashville SCNashville133641720-315
12Atlanta UnitedAtlanta133461716113
13CF MontrealMontreal133371731-1412
14Chicago Fire142481326-1310
15New England RevolutionNew England12219925-167

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake1484227141328
2Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd127322114724
3Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy145722521422
4Austin FCAustin146441917222
5Los Angeles FCLos Angeles136342419521
6Colorado RapidsColorado146352423121
7Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver135441915419
8Houston DynamoHouston135351213-118
9St Louis City133731920-116
10Seattle SoundersSeattle143561617-114
11Portland TimbersPortland143472629-313
12Dallas123361317-412
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas132562124-311
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes1431102233-1110


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