Major League Soccer
Dec 3, 2023 at 2.30am UK
Banc of California Stadium
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles FC win with a probability of 61.74%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Houston Dynamo had a probability of 18.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.36%) and 1-0 (8.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.33%), while for a Houston Dynamo win it was 1-2 (4.94%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Los Angeles FC would win this match.
Result |
Los Angeles FC | Draw | Houston Dynamo |
61.74% ( 0.06) | 20.24% ( -0.02) | 18.02% ( -0.04) |
Both teams to score 57.49% ( -0.02) |
61.62% ( 0.01) | 38.38% ( -0) |
39.34% ( 0.01) | 60.67% ( -0) |
88.04% ( 0.02) | 11.97% ( -0.02) |