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FC Cincinnati
Major League Soccer
Oct 5, 2023 at 12.30am UK
Nippert Stadium
New York Red Bulls

Cincinnati
1 - 2
NY Red Bulls

Acosta (68' pen.)
Gaddis (27'), Powell (49'), Hagglund (73'), Pinto (82'), Barreal (90+8'), Acosta (90+10')
Powell (88')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Amaya (12'), Manoel (17')
Lesesne (28'), Reyes (53'), Coronel (90+9'), Duncan (90+10')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Major League Soccer clash between FC Cincinnati and New York Red Bulls, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Toronto 2-3 Cincinnati
Sunday, October 1 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: NY Red Bulls 0-1 Chicago Fire
Sunday, October 1 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: FC Cincinnati 2-0 New York Red Bulls

Cincinnati have already clinched the Supporters' Shield, but we are not expecting a drop in performances levels as members of the squad attempt to impress Noonan in order to start in the playoffs. New York Red Bulls face a tough trio of fixtures as they attempt to sneak into the top nine of the Eastern Conference, and we feel their efforts will be unrewarded at TQL Field on Wednesday.

How to watch

You can watch FC Cincinnati vs. New York Red Bulls and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Cincinnati win with a probability of 53.37%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for New York Red Bulls had a probability of 22.25%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Cincinnati win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.82%) and 2-1 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.59%), while for a New York Red Bulls win it was 0-1 (6.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.

Result
FC CincinnatiDrawNew York Red Bulls
53.37% (0.13 0.13) 24.37% (-0.016000000000002 -0.02) 22.25% (-0.112 -0.11)
Both teams to score 50.7% (-0.086999999999996 -0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.31% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)50.69% (0.047999999999995 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.4% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)72.59% (0.041999999999987 0.04)
FC Cincinnati Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.07% (0.036000000000001 0.04)18.93% (-0.032 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.56% (0.055 0.05)50.44% (-0.052 -0.05)
New York Red Bulls Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.54% (-0.13200000000001 -0.13)37.46% (0.136 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.75% (-0.13 -0.13)74.25% (0.13500000000001 0.14)
Score Analysis
    FC Cincinnati 53.37%
    New York Red Bulls 22.25%
    Draw 24.37%
FC CincinnatiDrawNew York Red Bulls
1-0 @ 11.8% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
2-0 @ 9.82% (0.039 0.04)
2-1 @ 9.64% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 5.45% (0.027 0.03)
3-1 @ 5.35% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.63% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.27% (0.013 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.23% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-2 @ 1.09% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 53.37%
1-1 @ 11.59%
0-0 @ 7.09% (0.013 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.73% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 24.37%
0-1 @ 6.96% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-2 @ 5.69% (-0.026 -0.03)
0-2 @ 3.42% (-0.019 -0.02)
1-3 @ 1.86% (-0.015 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.55% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.12% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 1.65%
Total : 22.25%

How you voted: Cincinnati vs NY Red Bulls

FC Cincinnati
78.6%
Draw
0.0%
New York Red Bulls
21.4%
14
Head to Head
Jul 13, 2023 12.30am
NY Red Bulls
1-2
Cincinnati
Fernandez (28' pen.)
Ndam (3'), Edelman (45+1'), Vanzeir (64')
Acosta (80' pen.), Nwobodo (90+3')
Pinto (19'), Santos (62'), Ordonez (71')
May 24, 2023
12.30am
Oct 15, 2022 5pm
First Round
NY Red Bulls
1-2
Cincinnati
Morgan (48')
Acosta (74' pen.), Vazquez (86')
Aug 20, 2022 11pm
Jul 10, 2022 12.30am
Cincinnati
1-1
NY Red Bulls
Blackett (2'), Cruz (30'), Kubo (90+1')
Cruz (58'), Acosta (90+3')
Tolkin (30'), Edwards (45'), Long (90+3')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami1594236201631
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati149321911830
3New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls146532521423
4New York City FCNY City147251816223
5Toronto147162120122
6Columbus Crew135621913621
7Charlotte FCCharlotte FC146351413121
8Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia134542521417
9DC United144552024-417
10Orlando City134451520-516
11Nashville SCNashville133641720-315
12Atlanta UnitedAtlanta133461716113
13CF MontrealMontreal133371731-1412
14Chicago Fire142481326-1310
15New England RevolutionNew England12219925-167

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake1484227141328
2Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd127322114724
3Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy145722521422
4Austin FCAustin146441917222
5Los Angeles FCLos Angeles136342419521
6Colorado RapidsColorado146352423121
7Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver135441915419
8Houston DynamoHouston135351213-118
9St Louis City133731920-116
10Seattle SoundersSeattle143561617-114
11Portland TimbersPortland143472629-313
12Dallas123361317-412
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas132562124-311
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes1431102233-1110


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