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Attendance: 14,011
Millwall logo
Championship | Gameweek 28
Jan 18, 2020 at 3pm UK
 
Reading logo

2-0

Smith (71'), Dadi Bodvarsson (82')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Preview: Millwall vs. Reading - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews the Championship clash between Millwall and Reading, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Surprise playoff contenders Millwall host an in-form Reading side at The Den on Saturday as they look to keep pace with the teams above them in the Championship table.

The Royals are unbeaten in their last nine games across all competitions, however, and will not be easily beaten in London.


Match preview

Reading's John Swift celebrates scoring their first goal with teammates on December 26, 2019© Reuters

Millwall find themselves eighth in the table and just one point off the playoff places after a strong run of form since Gary Rowett replaced Neil Harris as head coach.

The London side are unbeaten in their last five games across all competitions, but they were reduced to 10 men and held to a 0-0 draw against Stoke City in their last outing.

Rowett has overseen just two defeats since taking charge in October - one of which was a 2-1 loss to Saturday's opponents Reading in the former Stoke and Birmingham City manager's second game in charge and he will be eager for revenge this time around.

The second loss came more recently - a shock 2-1 reverse against bottom-of-the-league Barnsley last month.

Reading will be hoping to maintain their excellent form and do the double over Millwall this term, coming into the contest with plenty of momentum.

The Royals have not lost in their last nine games across all competitions, winning five and drawing four since a 3-2 defeat to Birmingham at the beginning of December.

Mark Bowen's side are 14th in the league but are only five points behind Saturday's opponents with a game in hand on the rest of the division, bar Nottingham Forest.

Reading have had an extra fixture to deal with, being forced into an FA Cup replay against Blackpool before eventually triumphing 2-0 in their last outing.

Millwall Championship form: WLDWWD
Millwall form (all competitions): LDWWWD

Reading Championship form: DWWWWD
Reading form (all competitions): WWWDDW


Team News

Millwall manager Gary Rowett pictured on October 26, 2019© Reuters

Millwall manager Rowett has a handful of selection issues to deal with ahead of Reading's visit to The Den.

Aiden O'Brien, Ben Thompson, Tom Elliott and Ryan Leonard are all likely to miss the contest with various injury problems for the hosts.

Meanwhile, Shaun Williams is suspended following his sending-off against Stoke last time out.

Reading boss Bowen, on the other hand, has a significantly shorter injury list to contend with. Andy Yiadom is a major doubt for the contest, but aside from that, Bowen has a fully-fit squad.

Millwall possible starting lineup:
Bialkowski; Hutchinson, Pearce, Cooper; Romeo, Thompson, Molumby, M. Wallace; J. Wallace, Bradshaw, Mahoney

Reading possible starting lineup:
Cabral; Gunter, Morrison, Moore, Blackett; Pele, Adam; Meier, Swift, Ejaria; Baldock


Sports Mole Logo

We say: Millwall 0-1 Reading

Both sides are in good form, but Reading's record of winning four of their last five Championship games is very impressive and the Royals could extend their unbeaten run with a narrow win over Millwall.



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a win with a probability of 45.74%. A win for had a probability of 27.95% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.04%) and 2-0 (8.44%). The likeliest win was 0-1 (8.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.49%).


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Tables header RHS
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CLeicester CityLeicester463141189414897
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5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom4621121370472375
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8Middlesbrough46209177162969
9Coventry CityCoventry4617131670591164
10Preston North EndPreston46189195667-1163
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12Cardiff CityCardiff46195225370-1762
13Millwall461611194555-1059
14Swansea CitySwansea461512195965-657
15Watford461317166161056
16Sunderland46168225254-256
17Stoke CityStoke461511204960-1156
18Queens Park RangersQPR461511204758-1156
19Blackburn RoversBlackburn461411216074-1453
20Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds46158234468-2453
21Plymouth ArgylePlymouth461312215970-1151
RBirmingham CityBirmingham461311225065-1550
RHuddersfield TownHuddersfield46918194877-2945
RRotherham UnitedRotherham46512293789-5227


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