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Toulouse
Toulouse
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 37
May 27, 2023 at 8pm UK
Stadium Municipal
AJ Auxerre

Toulouse
1 - 1
Auxerre

Aboukhlal (44')
Spierings (71')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Raveloson (24')
Jubal (2'), Massengo (18'), Abline (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Toulouse and Auxerre, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Auxerre 1-2 PSG
Sunday, May 21 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1

We said: Toulouse 2-0 Auxerre

In spite of their recent attacking failures, Toulouse's build-up play will be boosted greatly by the expected return of Van den Boomen, and Auxerre are not exactly the masters of keeping things tight at the back against the Coupe de France holders. Pelissier's side have rarely been blown away in 2023, though, and victory could secure survival for the visitors if results elsewhere go in their favour, but we cannot see any surprises being sprung against a sturdy Toulouse backline as the fight for survival goes right down to the wire. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toulouse win with a probability of 50.29%. A win for Auxerre had a probability of 25.13% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toulouse win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.56%) and 2-0 (8.83%). The likeliest Auxerre win was 0-1 (7.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood.

Result
ToulouseDrawAuxerre
50.29% (-0.239 -0.24) 24.58% (-0.026 -0.03) 25.13% (0.265 0.27)
Both teams to score 53.27% (0.346 0.35)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.13% (0.33000000000001 0.33)48.86% (-0.329 -0.33)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.04% (0.297 0.3)70.96% (-0.297 -0.3)
Toulouse Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.55% (0.033000000000001 0.03)19.44% (-0.032 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.71% (0.051000000000002 0.05)51.29% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)
Auxerre Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.13% (0.40299999999999 0.4)33.86% (-0.40300000000001 -0.4)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.46% (0.433 0.43)70.53% (-0.434 -0.43)
Score Analysis
    Toulouse 50.29%
    Auxerre 25.13%
    Draw 24.57%
ToulouseDrawAuxerre
1-0 @ 10.78% (-0.13 -0.13)
2-1 @ 9.56% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
2-0 @ 8.83% (-0.102 -0.1)
3-1 @ 5.22% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 4.82% (-0.05 -0.05)
3-2 @ 2.83% (0.032 0.03)
4-1 @ 2.14% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 1.97% (-0.019 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.16% (0.015 0.02)
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 50.29%
1-1 @ 11.67% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 6.59% (-0.089 -0.09)
2-2 @ 5.18% (0.054 0.05)
3-3 @ 1.02% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 24.57%
0-1 @ 7.13% (-0.018 -0.02)
1-2 @ 6.32% (0.06 0.06)
0-2 @ 3.86% (0.032 0.03)
1-3 @ 2.28% (0.047 0.05)
2-3 @ 1.87% (0.039 0.04)
0-3 @ 1.39% (0.027 0.03)
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 25.13%

How you voted: Toulouse vs Auxerre

Toulouse
73.3%
Draw
20.0%
Auxerre
6.7%
30
Head to Head
Jan 11, 2023 6pm
gameweek 18
Auxerre
0-5
Toulouse

Niang (43'), Mensah (55'), Jubal (88')
Chaibi (4'), Rouault (33'), Van den Boomen (41' pen.), Aboukhlal (75'), Dallinga (88')
Sylla (44')
Mar 19, 2022 2pm
gameweek 30
Auxerre
1-2
Toulouse
Dugimont (71')
Pellenard (42')
Charbonnier (38')
Van den Boomen (33' pen., 41')
Spierings (9')
Oct 16, 2021 2pm
gameweek 12
Toulouse
6-0
Auxerre
Healey (4', 72'), Ratao (7', 46'), Mvoue (24'), Nicolaisen (84')
Genreau (44')

Dugimont (49')
Feb 2, 2021 7pm
gameweek 23
Auxerre
3-1
Toulouse
Dugimont (4', 77'), N'Gando (42')
Bernard (90+2')
Healey (90+3' pen.)
Healey (80'), Machado (88')
Sep 26, 2020 2pm
gameweek 5
Toulouse
3-1
Auxerre
Van den Boomen (69' pen.), Moreira (86'), Healey (90+3')
van den Boomen (43'), Moreira (90+2')
Le Bihan (58')
Sakhi (34')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CParis Saint-GermainPSG342210281334876
2MonacoMonaco34207768422667
3Brest341710753341961
4Lille341611752341859
5Nice341510940291155
6Lyon34165134955-653
7Lens34149114537851
8Marseille3413111052411150
9Reims34138134247-547
10Rennes341210125346746
11Toulouse341110134246-443
12Montpellier HSCMontpellier341012124348-541
13StrasbourgStrasbourg34109153850-1239
14NantesNantes3496193055-2533
15Le HavreLe Havre34711163445-1132
16Lorient3478194366-2329
17Metz3485213558-2329
RClermont34510192660-3425


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