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Rennes
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 26
Mar 17, 2024 at 4.05pm UK
Roazhon Park
Marseille

Rennes
2 - 0
Marseille

Terrier (21'), Bourigeaud (77' pen.)
Kalimuendo (77')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Harit (38'), Lopez (76'), Sarr (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Rennes and Marseille, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lille 2-2 Rennes
Sunday, March 10 at 4.05pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Villarreal 3-1 Marseille
Thursday, March 14 at 5.45pm in Europa League

We said: Rennes 1-2 Marseille

Both sides will be desperate for three points in a pivotal contest in the top-five race, and despite facing a tough trip, Marseille are in fine fettle under new management and playing to their full potential, and we fancy them to make it four Ligue 1 wins on the bounce as a result. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rennes win with a probability of 42.78%. A win for Marseille had a probability of 32.71% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rennes win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.5%) and 2-0 (6.68%). The likeliest Marseille win was 1-2 (7.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.43%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rennes would win this match.

Result
RennesDrawMarseille
42.78% (-0.424 -0.42) 24.51% (0.058 0.06) 32.71% (0.369 0.37)
Both teams to score 58.61% (-0.07 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.82% (-0.153 -0.15)44.18% (0.15499999999999 0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.44% (-0.15 -0.15)66.56% (0.15300000000001 0.15)
Rennes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.24% (-0.255 -0.25)20.76% (0.258 0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.61% (-0.403 -0.4)53.39% (0.405 0.41)
Marseille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.96% (0.151 0.15)26.04% (-0.148 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.92% (0.201 0.2)61.07% (-0.198 -0.2)
Score Analysis
    Rennes 42.78%
    Marseille 32.71%
    Draw 24.51%
RennesDrawMarseille
2-1 @ 8.99% (-0.042 -0.04)
1-0 @ 8.5% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-0 @ 6.68% (-0.06 -0.06)
3-1 @ 4.71% (-0.06 -0.06)
3-0 @ 3.5% (-0.059 -0.06)
3-2 @ 3.17% (-0.027 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.85% (-0.039 -0.04)
4-0 @ 1.38% (-0.035 -0.04)
4-2 @ 1.25% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 42.78%
1-1 @ 11.43% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
2-2 @ 6.05% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-0 @ 5.4% (0.036 0.04)
3-3 @ 1.42% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 24.51%
1-2 @ 7.69% (0.056 0.06)
0-1 @ 7.27% (0.08 0.08)
0-2 @ 4.89% (0.074 0.07)
1-3 @ 3.45% (0.04 0.04)
2-3 @ 2.71% (0.01 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.19% (0.042 0.04)
1-4 @ 1.16% (0.018 0.02)
2-4 @ 0.91% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 32.71%

How you voted: Rennes vs Marseille

Rennes
32.3%
Draw
18.5%
Marseille
49.2%
65
Head to Head
Jan 21, 2024 8.05pm
Round of 32
Rennes
1-1
Marseille
Rennes win 9-8 on penalties
Terrier (53')
Doue (27'), Yildirim (88')
Veretout (29')
Onana (36'), Garcia (45+3'), Oliveira (49')
Dec 3, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 14
Marseille
2-0
Rennes
Aubameyang (8' pen.), Ounahi (65')
Mughe (81')
Ndiaye (67')

Santamaria (36'), Matic (76'), Gouiri (90')
Wooh (61')
Mar 5, 2023 7.45pm
Jan 20, 2023 8.10pm
Sep 18, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 8
Marseille
1-1
Rennes
Guendouzi (52')
Guendouzi (25' og.)
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CParis Saint-GermainPSG312010176294770
2MonacoMonaco31177758411758
3Brest31168749331656
4Lille311510645271855
5Nice31149836251151
6Lens31137114034646
7Marseille31111194738944
8Lyon31135134251-944
9Rennes31119114841742
10Toulouse311010113840-240
11Reims31117133845-740
12Montpellier HSCMontpellier31911113943-437
13StrasbourgStrasbourg3199133444-1036
14NantesNantes3195172949-2032
15Le HavreLe Havre31611143041-1129
16Metz3185183251-1929
17Lorient3168173761-2426
18Clermont31510162550-2525


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