Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 62.52%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 17.41%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.58%) and 1-0 (8.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.29%), while for a Montpellier HSC win it was 1-2 (4.8%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.
Result | ||
Paris Saint-Germain | Draw | Montpellier HSC |
62.52% ( 0.02) | 20.06% ( -0.01) | 17.41% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 56.82% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.34% ( 0.02) | 38.65% ( -0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
39.04% ( 0.02) | 60.96% ( -0.02) |
Paris Saint-Germain Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.16% ( 0.01) | 11.84% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
62.9% ( 0.02) | 37.09% ( -0.02) |
Montpellier HSC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.45% | 35.54% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.69% | 72.31% |
Score Analysis |
Paris Saint-Germain | Draw | Montpellier HSC |
2-1 @ 9.91% ( -0) 2-0 @ 9.58% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8.98% ( -0) 3-1 @ 7.05% ( 0) 3-0 @ 6.81% ( 0) 4-1 @ 3.76% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.65% ( 0) 4-0 @ 3.64% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.95% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.61% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.55% ( 0) Other @ 4.05% Total : 62.52% | 1-1 @ 9.29% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.13% 0-0 @ 4.21% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.26% Other @ 0.19% Total : 20.06% | 1-2 @ 4.8% ( -0) 0-1 @ 4.35% ( -0) 0-2 @ 2.25% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.77% 1-3 @ 1.66% ( -0) Other @ 2.58% Total : 17.41% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 31 | 20 | 10 | 1 | 76 | 29 | 47 | 70 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 32 | 18 | 7 | 7 | 62 | 42 | 20 | 61 |
3 | Brest | 32 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 49 | 33 | 16 | 57 |
4 | Lille | 32 | 15 | 10 | 7 | 48 | 31 | 17 | 55 |
5 | Nice | 31 | 14 | 9 | 8 | 36 | 25 | 11 | 51 |
6 | Lens | 32 | 14 | 7 | 11 | 42 | 34 | 8 | 49 |
7 | Lyon | 32 | 14 | 5 | 13 | 46 | 54 | -8 | 47 |
8 | Rennes | 32 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 51 | 43 | 8 | 45 |
9 | Marseille | 31 | 11 | 11 | 9 | 47 | 38 | 9 | 44 |
10 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 32 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 41 | 44 | -3 | 40 |
11 | Toulouse | 32 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 39 | 42 | -3 | 40 |
12 | Reims | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 38 | 45 | -7 | 40 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 32 | 9 | 9 | 14 | 35 | 47 | -12 | 36 |
14 | NantesNantes | 32 | 9 | 6 | 17 | 29 | 49 | -20 | 33 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 32 | 7 | 11 | 14 | 33 | 42 | -9 | 32 |
16 | Metz | 32 | 8 | 5 | 19 | 34 | 54 | -20 | 29 |
17 | Lorient | 32 | 6 | 8 | 18 | 37 | 63 | -26 | 26 |
18 | Clermont | 32 | 5 | 10 | 17 | 26 | 54 | -28 | 25 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |