Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-Germain | 38 | 54 | 86 |
2 | Marseille | 38 | 25 | 71 |
3 | Monaco | 38 | 25 | 69 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
18 | Saint-Etienne | 38 | -35 | 32 |
19 | Metz | 38 | -34 | 31 |
20 | Bordeaux | 38 | -39 | 31 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 84.28%. A draw had a probability of 10.7% and a win for Metz had a probability of 4.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (12.11%) and 4-0 (8.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.1%), while for a Metz win it was 0-1 (1.72%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.
Result | ||
Paris Saint-Germain | Draw | Metz |
84.28% ( 0.94) | 10.75% ( -0.44) | 4.97% ( -0.5) |
Both teams to score 43.53% ( -1.8) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
69.27% ( -0.25) | 30.73% ( 0.25) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
47.94% ( -0.29) | 52.06% ( 0.29) |
Paris Saint-Germain Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
94.82% ( 0.12) | 5.18% ( -0.12) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
79.48% ( 0.36) | 20.52% ( -0.36) |
Metz Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
45.91% ( -1.96) | 54.09% ( 1.96) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
12.67% ( -1.24) | 87.33% ( 1.24) |
Score Analysis |
Paris Saint-Germain | Draw | Metz |
2-0 @ 12.27% ( 0.35) 3-0 @ 12.11% ( 0.44) 4-0 @ 8.97% ( 0.4) 1-0 @ 8.3% ( 0.18) 2-1 @ 7.55% ( -0.22) 3-1 @ 7.45% ( -0.16) 4-1 @ 5.51% ( -0.07) 5-0 @ 5.31% ( 0.27) 5-1 @ 3.26% ( -0.02) 6-0 @ 2.62% ( 0.15) 3-2 @ 2.29% ( -0.19) 4-2 @ 1.69% ( -0.13) 6-1 @ 1.61% ( 0) 7-0 @ 1.11% ( 0.07) 5-2 @ 1% ( -0.07) Other @ 3.24% Total : 84.27% | 1-1 @ 5.1% ( -0.19) 0-0 @ 2.8% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 2.32% ( -0.21) Other @ 0.53% Total : 10.75% | 0-1 @ 1.72% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 1.57% ( -0.16) Other @ 1.68% Total : 4.97% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 32 | 20 | 10 | 2 | 77 | 32 | 45 | 70 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 33 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 64 | 42 | 22 | 64 |
3 | Lille | 33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 50 | 32 | 18 | 58 |
4 | Brest | 33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 50 | 34 | 16 | 58 |
5 | Nice | 32 | 15 | 9 | 8 | 37 | 25 | 12 | 54 |
6 | Lens | 33 | 14 | 8 | 11 | 43 | 35 | 8 | 50 |
7 | Lyon | 33 | 15 | 5 | 13 | 47 | 54 | -7 | 50 |
8 | Marseille | 32 | 12 | 11 | 9 | 50 | 39 | 11 | 47 |
9 | Rennes | 33 | 12 | 10 | 11 | 52 | 44 | 8 | 46 |
10 | Toulouse | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 42 | 43 | -1 | 43 |
11 | Reims | 32 | 11 | 8 | 13 | 39 | 46 | -7 | 41 |
12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 33 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 41 | 46 | -5 | 40 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 37 | 48 | -11 | 39 |
14 | NantesNantes | 33 | 9 | 6 | 18 | 30 | 51 | -21 | 33 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 33 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 33 | 43 | -10 | 32 |
16 | Metz | 33 | 8 | 5 | 20 | 35 | 56 | -21 | 29 |
17 | Lorient | 33 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 38 | 66 | -28 | 26 |
R | Clermont | 33 | 5 | 10 | 18 | 26 | 55 | -29 | 25 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |