Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toulouse win with a probability of 42.9%. A win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 33.04% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toulouse win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.93%) and 0-2 (6.43%). The likeliest Montpellier HSC win was 2-1 (7.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Toulouse in this match.
Result | ||
Montpellier HSC | Draw | Toulouse |
33.04% ( 0.54) | 24.06% ( -0.04) | 42.9% ( -0.5) |
Both teams to score 60.37% ( 0.37) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.06% ( 0.39) | 41.93% ( -0.39) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.66% ( 0.39) | 64.34% ( -0.39) |
Montpellier HSC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.24% ( 0.51) | 24.76% ( -0.51) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.68% ( 0.71) | 59.32% ( -0.71) |
Toulouse Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.23% ( -0.05) | 19.76% ( 0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.19% ( -0.09) | 51.81% ( 0.09) |
Score Analysis |
Montpellier HSC | Draw | Toulouse |
2-1 @ 7.73% ( 0.08) 1-0 @ 6.83% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 4.77% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 3.6% ( 0.09) 3-2 @ 2.92% ( 0.07) 3-0 @ 2.22% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 1.26% ( 0.05) 4-2 @ 1.02% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.7% Total : 33.04% | 1-1 @ 11.07% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 6.27% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 4.89% ( -0.09) 3-3 @ 1.58% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.24% Total : 24.05% | 1-2 @ 8.98% ( -0.06) 0-1 @ 7.93% ( -0.15) 0-2 @ 6.43% ( -0.14) 1-3 @ 4.85% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 3.48% ( -0.08) 2-3 @ 3.39% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.97% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 1.41% ( -0.03) 2-4 @ 1.37% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.1% Total : 42.9% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 33 | 21 | 10 | 2 | 79 | 33 | 46 | 73 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 33 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 64 | 42 | 22 | 64 |
3 | Lille | 33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 50 | 32 | 18 | 58 |
4 | Brest | 33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 50 | 34 | 16 | 58 |
5 | Nice | 33 | 15 | 9 | 9 | 38 | 27 | 11 | 54 |
6 | Lens | 33 | 14 | 8 | 11 | 43 | 35 | 8 | 50 |
7 | Lyon | 33 | 15 | 5 | 13 | 47 | 54 | -7 | 50 |
8 | Marseille | 33 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 50 | 40 | 10 | 47 |
9 | Rennes | 33 | 12 | 10 | 11 | 52 | 44 | 8 | 46 |
10 | Reims | 33 | 12 | 8 | 13 | 40 | 46 | -6 | 44 |
11 | Toulouse | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 42 | 43 | -1 | 43 |
12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 33 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 41 | 46 | -5 | 40 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 37 | 48 | -11 | 39 |
14 | NantesNantes | 33 | 9 | 6 | 18 | 30 | 51 | -21 | 33 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 33 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 33 | 43 | -10 | 32 |
16 | Metz | 33 | 8 | 5 | 20 | 35 | 56 | -21 | 29 |
17 | Lorient | 33 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 38 | 66 | -28 | 26 |
R | Clermont | 33 | 5 | 10 | 18 | 26 | 55 | -29 | 25 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |