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Ligue 1
Marseille
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 7
Sep 10, 2022 at 8pm UK
Stade Velodrome
Lille

Marseille
2 - 1
Lille

Sanchez (26'), Gigot (61')
Balerdi (14'), Tudor (41'), Gueye (50'), Gigot (57'), Toure (68'), Tavares (72')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Ismaily (12')
Djalo (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Marseille and Lille, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Marseille

Last Six:
Last Game: Spurs 2-0 Marseille
Wednesday, September 7 at 8pm in Champions League

Lille

Last Six:
Last Game: Montpellier 1-3 Lille
Sunday, September 4 at 12pm in Ligue 1

We said: Marseille 2-2 Lille

 A closely-fought contest between two evenly-matched teams is set to take place on Saturday, with both sides feeling that they have the credentials to come away with maximum points. While goals are to be expected at the Stade Velodrome, an entertaining score draw could be on the cards on this occasion. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 45.55%. A win for Lille had a probability of 29.55% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.24%) and 2-0 (7.59%). The likeliest Lille win was 0-1 (7.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Marseille would win this match.

Result
MarseilleDrawLille
45.55% (0.0030000000000001 0) 24.9% (0.0010000000000012 0) 29.55% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Both teams to score 55.76% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.77% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)47.23% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.54% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)69.46% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Marseille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.22% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)20.79% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.57% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)53.44% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Lille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.39% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)29.61% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.36% (-0.012 -0.01)65.65% (0.0099999999999909 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Marseille 45.55%
    Lille 29.55%
    Draw 24.89%
MarseilleDrawLille
1-0 @ 9.67% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-1 @ 9.24% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 7.59% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-1 @ 4.84%
3-0 @ 3.98% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 2.95% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-1 @ 1.9%
4-0 @ 1.56% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 1.16%
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 45.55%
1-1 @ 11.76%
0-0 @ 6.15% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-2 @ 5.63% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-3 @ 1.2%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 24.89%
0-1 @ 7.49% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-2 @ 7.16% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-2 @ 4.56% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-3 @ 2.91% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-3 @ 2.28% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 1.85% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.31%
Total : 29.55%

How you voted: Marseille vs Lille

Marseille
65.3%
Draw
25.5%
Lille
9.2%
98
Head to Head
Jan 16, 2022 7.45pm
Marseille
1-1
Lille
Under (75')
Guendouzi (4')
Botman (15')
Andre (30'), Grbic (55'), Celik (55'), Lihadji (86')
Andre (32')
Oct 3, 2021 4pm
Lille
2-0
Marseille
David (28', 90+4')
Mandava (11'), Yilmaz (66')

Under (24'), Balerdi (37')
Under (77')
Mar 3, 2021 8pm
Lille
2-0
Marseille
David (90', 90+2')
Sep 20, 2020 8pm
Marseille
1-1
Lille
Germain (85')
Nagatomo (21'), Thauvin (58'), Gonzalez (65')
Araujo (47')
Andre (50'), Bradaric (58'), Sanches (80')
Feb 16, 2020 8pm
Lille
1-2
Marseille
Osimhen (51')
Mandava (66' og.), Benedetto (69')
Caleta-Car (9'), Amavi (30'), Benedetto (35'), Strootman (90'), Ake (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CParis Saint-GermainPSG332110279334673
2MonacoMonaco33197764422264
3Lille331610750321858
4Brest331610750341658
5Nice33159938271154
6Lens33148114335850
7Lyon33155134754-750
8Marseille3312111050401047
9Rennes331210115244846
10Reims33128134046-644
11Toulouse331110124243-143
12Montpellier HSCMontpellier331011124146-540
13StrasbourgStrasbourg33109143748-1139
14NantesNantes3396183051-2133
15Le HavreLe Havre33711153343-1032
16Metz3385203556-2129
17Lorient3368193866-2826
RClermont33510182655-2925
> Ligue 1 Full Table


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