Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 44.04%. A win for Lens had a probability of 29.66% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.94%) and 0-2 (7.95%). The likeliest Lens win was 1-0 (8.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.5%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Marseille would win this match.
Result | ||
Lens | Draw | Marseille |
29.66% | 26.3% | 44.04% |
Both teams to score 51.32% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.97% | 53.04% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.38% | 74.62% |
Lens Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.48% | 32.52% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.95% | 69.05% |
Marseille Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.05% | 23.95% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.83% | 58.17% |
Score Analysis |
Lens | Draw | Marseille |
1-0 @ 8.75% 2-1 @ 7.02% 2-0 @ 4.91% 3-1 @ 2.63% 3-2 @ 1.88% 3-0 @ 1.84% Other @ 2.62% Total : 29.66% | 1-1 @ 12.5% 0-0 @ 7.79% 2-2 @ 5.02% Other @ 0.99% Total : 26.3% | 0-1 @ 11.13% 1-2 @ 8.94% 0-2 @ 7.95% 1-3 @ 4.26% 0-3 @ 3.79% 2-3 @ 2.39% 1-4 @ 1.52% 0-4 @ 1.35% Other @ 2.71% Total : 44.04% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 31 | 20 | 10 | 1 | 76 | 29 | 47 | 70 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 31 | 17 | 7 | 7 | 58 | 41 | 17 | 58 |
3 | Brest | 31 | 16 | 8 | 7 | 49 | 33 | 16 | 56 |
4 | Lille | 31 | 15 | 10 | 6 | 45 | 27 | 18 | 55 |
5 | Nice | 31 | 14 | 9 | 8 | 36 | 25 | 11 | 51 |
6 | Lens | 31 | 13 | 7 | 11 | 40 | 34 | 6 | 46 |
7 | Marseille | 31 | 11 | 11 | 9 | 47 | 38 | 9 | 44 |
8 | Lyon | 31 | 13 | 5 | 13 | 42 | 51 | -9 | 44 |
9 | Rennes | 31 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 48 | 41 | 7 | 42 |
10 | Toulouse | 31 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 38 | 40 | -2 | 40 |
11 | Reims | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 38 | 45 | -7 | 40 |
12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 31 | 9 | 11 | 11 | 39 | 43 | -4 | 37 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 31 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 34 | 44 | -10 | 36 |
14 | NantesNantes | 31 | 9 | 5 | 17 | 29 | 49 | -20 | 32 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 31 | 6 | 11 | 14 | 30 | 41 | -11 | 29 |
16 | Metz | 31 | 8 | 5 | 18 | 32 | 51 | -19 | 29 |
17 | Lorient | 31 | 6 | 8 | 17 | 37 | 61 | -24 | 26 |
18 | Clermont | 31 | 5 | 10 | 16 | 25 | 50 | -25 | 25 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |