Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne Victory win with a probability of 53.73%. A win for Wellington Phoenix had a probability of 23.51% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne Victory win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.26%) and 2-0 (8.55%). The likeliest Wellington Phoenix win was 1-2 (6.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Melbourne Victory | Draw | Wellington Phoenix |
53.73% ( -0) | 22.76% ( 0) | 23.51% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 57.45% ( 0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.52% ( -0) | 42.48% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.11% ( -0) | 64.89% ( 0.01) |
Melbourne Victory Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.21% ( -0) | 15.78% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.08% ( -0) | 44.92% ( 0.01) |
Wellington Phoenix Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.22% ( 0) | 31.78% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.79% ( 0) | 68.2% |
Score Analysis |
Melbourne Victory | Draw | Wellington Phoenix |
2-1 @ 9.8% 1-0 @ 9.26% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.55% 3-1 @ 6.03% ( -0) 3-0 @ 5.26% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.46% 4-1 @ 2.78% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.43% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.6% 5-1 @ 1.03% Other @ 3.54% Total : 53.73% | 1-1 @ 10.61% 2-2 @ 5.62% 0-0 @ 5.02% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.32% Other @ 0.19% Total : 22.75% | 1-2 @ 6.09% ( 0) 0-1 @ 5.75% ( 0) 0-2 @ 3.3% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.33% 2-3 @ 2.15% 0-3 @ 1.26% ( 0) Other @ 2.64% Total : 23.51% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 27 | 17 | 4 | 6 | 49 | 27 | 22 | 55 |
2 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 27 | 15 | 8 | 4 | 42 | 26 | 16 | 53 |
3 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 27 | 10 | 12 | 5 | 43 | 33 | 10 | 42 |
4 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 27 | 12 | 5 | 10 | 52 | 41 | 11 | 41 |
5 | Macarthur | 27 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 45 | 48 | -3 | 41 |
6 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 50 | 38 | 12 | 39 |
7 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 27 | 11 | 4 | 12 | 44 | 48 | -4 | 37 |
8 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 52 | 53 | -1 | 32 |
9 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 42 | 55 | -13 | 30 |
10 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 27 | 6 | 10 | 11 | 39 | 47 | -8 | 28 |
11 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 27 | 7 | 5 | 15 | 36 | 55 | -19 | 26 |
12 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 27 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 46 | 69 | -23 | 22 |
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