Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Western Sydney Wanderers win with a probability of 41.33%. A win for Melbourne Victory had a probability of 34.46% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Western Sydney Wanderers win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.84%) and 2-0 (6.19%). The likeliest Melbourne Victory win was 1-2 (7.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Western Sydney Wanderers in this match.
Result | ||
Western Sydney Wanderers | Draw | Melbourne Victory |
41.33% ( -0.01) | 24.21% ( 0.1) | 34.46% ( -0.09) |
Both teams to score 60.26% ( -0.41) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.74% ( -0.51) | 42.26% ( 0.52) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.34% ( -0.52) | 64.66% ( 0.52) |
Western Sydney Wanderers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.39% ( -0.22) | 20.61% ( 0.22) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.84% ( -0.35) | 53.15% ( 0.35) |
Melbourne Victory Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.9% ( -0.29) | 24.1% ( 0.29) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.61% ( -0.42) | 58.39% ( 0.42) |
Score Analysis |
Western Sydney Wanderers | Draw | Melbourne Victory |
2-1 @ 8.82% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 7.84% ( 0.13) 2-0 @ 6.19% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 4.64% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 3.3% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 3.26% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.83% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.3% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 1.29% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.85% Total : 41.33% | 1-1 @ 11.16% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 6.27% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 4.97% ( 0.11) 3-3 @ 1.57% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.24% Total : 24.21% | 1-2 @ 7.94% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 7.07% ( 0.1) 0-2 @ 5.03% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 3.77% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 2.98% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 2.39% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.34% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 1.06% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.9% Total : 34.46% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 27 | 17 | 4 | 6 | 49 | 27 | 22 | 55 |
2 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 27 | 15 | 8 | 4 | 42 | 26 | 16 | 53 |
3 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 27 | 10 | 12 | 5 | 43 | 33 | 10 | 42 |
4 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 27 | 12 | 5 | 10 | 52 | 41 | 11 | 41 |
5 | Macarthur | 27 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 45 | 48 | -3 | 41 |
6 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 50 | 38 | 12 | 39 |
7 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 27 | 11 | 4 | 12 | 44 | 48 | -4 | 37 |
8 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 52 | 53 | -1 | 32 |
9 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 42 | 55 | -13 | 30 |
10 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 27 | 6 | 10 | 11 | 39 | 47 | -8 | 28 |
11 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 27 | 7 | 5 | 15 | 36 | 55 | -19 | 26 |
12 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 27 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 46 | 69 | -23 | 22 |
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