MX23RW : Monday, May 20 12:05:43| >> :300:86500:86500:
Brest logo
Clermont Foot
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lyon
Marseille
Metz logo
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Lens logo
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 32
May 3, 2024 at 8pm UK
Stade Bollaert-Delelis
Lorient logo

Lens
2 - 0
Lorient

Wahi (57'), Costa (81')
Wahi (58')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Bakayoko (20'), Katseris (71')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Ligue 1 clash between Lens and Lorient, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Marseille 2-1 Lens
Sunday, April 28 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lorient 1-2 Toulouse
Sunday, April 28 at 2pm in Ligue 1

We said: Lens 2-0 Lorient

Neither side have been all that consistent of late, but Lorient have their share of glaring holes at the back when compared to Lens, and we believe the home side will be able to capitalise on that. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 63.21%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Lorient had a probability of 16.69%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.93%) and 1-0 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.39%), while for a Lorient win it was 1-2 (4.64%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Lens in this match.

Result
LensDrawLorient
63.21% (-0.339 -0.34) 20.09% (0.029999999999998 0.03) 16.69% (0.31 0.31)
Both teams to score 55.16% (0.598 0.6)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.9% (0.45 0.45)40.1% (-0.449 -0.45)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.53% (0.463 0.46)62.47% (-0.462 -0.46)
Lens Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.92% (0.043000000000006 0.04)12.08% (-0.040999999999999 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.38% (0.086999999999996 0.09)37.62% (-0.086000000000006 -0.09)
Lorient Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.74% (0.65199999999999 0.65)37.26% (-0.651 -0.65)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.95% (0.636 0.64)74.04% (-0.63499999999999 -0.63)
Score Analysis
    Lens 63.21%
    Lorient 16.69%
    Draw 20.09%
LensDrawLorient
2-0 @ 10.05% (-0.18 -0.18)
2-1 @ 9.93% (0.0020000000000007 0)
1-0 @ 9.51% (-0.183 -0.18)
3-0 @ 7.08% (-0.113 -0.11)
3-1 @ 6.99% (0.013 0.01)
4-0 @ 3.74% (-0.054 -0.05)
4-1 @ 3.7% (0.013 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.45% (0.067 0.07)
4-2 @ 1.82% (0.038 0.04)
5-0 @ 1.58% (-0.02 -0.02)
5-1 @ 1.56% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 3.78%
Total : 63.21%
1-1 @ 9.39% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.9% (0.087000000000001 0.09)
0-0 @ 4.5% (-0.094 -0.09)
3-3 @ 1.14% (0.041 0.04)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 20.09%
1-2 @ 4.64% (0.074999999999999 0.07)
0-1 @ 4.44% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-2 @ 2.19% (0.032 0.03)
2-3 @ 1.61% (0.056 0.06)
1-3 @ 1.53% (0.051 0.05)
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 16.69%

How you voted: Lens vs Lorient

Lens
94.9%
Draw
2.5%
Lorient
2.5%
79
Head to Head
Nov 4, 2023 4pm
Gameweek 11
Lorient
0-0
Lens
Mvuka (40'), Mendy (90+1'), Toure (90+4')
Danso (48'), Samba (90+3'), Fulgini (90+6')
May 21, 2023 4.05pm
Gameweek 36
Lorient
1-3
Lens
Faivre (6')
Yongwa (71'), Kalulu (75')
Sotoca (20'), Thomasson (25'), Fofana (87')
Machado (39'), Medina (43')
Feb 9, 2023 8pm
Round of 16
Lorient
1-1
Lens
(Aggregate 1-1 | Lens win 4-2 on penalties)
Le Fee (84')
Fulgini (21')
Aug 31, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 5
Lens
5-2
Lorient
Sotoca (24', 77'), Said (28'), Abdul Samed (57'), Openda (86')
Gradit (63')
Moffi (41', 50')
Ouattara (58'), Abergel (60'), Moffi (64')
Feb 6, 2022 12pm
Gameweek 23
Lorient
2-0
Lens
Soumano (43'), Kone (76')

Wooh (45+1'), Haidara (79'), Frankowski (87')
Cahuzac (77')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CParis Saint-GermainPSG342210281334876
2MonacoMonaco34207768422667
3Brest341710753341961
4Lille341611752341859
5Nice341510940291155
6Lyon34165134955-653
7Lens34149114537851
8Marseille3413111052411150
9Reims34138134247-547
10Rennes341210125346746
11Toulouse341110134246-443
12Montpellier HSCMontpellier341012124348-541
13StrasbourgStrasbourg34109153850-1239
14NantesNantes3496193055-2533
15Le HavreLe Havre34711163445-1132
16Lorient3478194366-2329
17Metz3485213558-2329
RClermont34510192660-3425


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