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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Chaves
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Portimonense
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Vizela
Braga
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 19
Jan 31, 2024 at 8.45pm UK
Estadio Municipal de Braga
Chaves

Braga
1 - 1
Chaves

Zalazar (52')
Jorge (28'), Ruiz (90+10')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Vitoria (64')
Ribeiro (27'), Guzzo (33'), Vitoria (70'), Correia (90+7'), Phete (90+10')
Vitoria (90+10')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Primeira Liga clash between Braga and Chaves, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Braga 1-1 Estoril (5-4 pen.)
Saturday, January 27 at 7.45pm in Taca da Liga
Last Game: Chaves 0-0 Rio Ave
Sunday, January 21 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Braga 2-0 Chaves

Braga will be full of confidence following their crowning as Taca da Liga champions, however they must warn against complacency as the division's bottom side come to town. Chaves have failed to win an away match since October 1, and we cannot envisage the Flavienses changing their fortunes on the road in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 64.46%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for Chaves had a probability of 15.52%.

The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.3%) and 2-1 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.46%), while for a Chaves win it was 0-1 (4.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood.

Result
BragaDrawChaves
64.46% (0.431 0.43) 20.02% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 15.52% (-0.426 -0.43)
Both teams to score 52.66% (-1.005 -1.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.94% (-0.828 -0.83)42.06% (0.826 0.83)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.53% (-0.835 -0.84)64.46% (0.835 0.84)
Braga Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.67% (-0.13 -0.13)12.32% (0.129 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.87% (-0.271 -0.27)38.12% (0.26900000000001 0.27)
Chaves Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.06% (-1.058 -1.06)39.93% (1.056 1.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.4% (-0.985 -0.98)76.59% (0.982 0.98)
Score Analysis
    Braga 64.45%
    Chaves 15.52%
    Draw 20.02%
BragaDrawChaves
2-0 @ 10.78% (0.29 0.29)
1-0 @ 10.3% (0.324 0.32)
2-1 @ 9.9% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
3-0 @ 7.53% (0.166 0.17)
3-1 @ 6.91% (-0.045 -0.04)
4-0 @ 3.94% (0.068 0.07)
4-1 @ 3.62% (-0.041 -0.04)
3-2 @ 3.17% (-0.114 -0.11)
4-2 @ 1.66% (-0.068 -0.07)
5-0 @ 1.65% (0.02 0.02)
5-1 @ 1.51% (-0.026 -0.03)
Other @ 3.48%
Total : 64.45%
1-1 @ 9.46% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 4.92% (0.18 0.18)
2-2 @ 4.54% (-0.14 -0.14)
3-3 @ 0.97% (-0.065 -0.07)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 20.02%
0-1 @ 4.52% (0.038 0.04)
1-2 @ 4.34% (-0.111 -0.11)
0-2 @ 2.07% (-0.043 -0.04)
2-3 @ 1.39% (-0.085 -0.09)
1-3 @ 1.33% (-0.074 -0.07)
Other @ 1.87%
Total : 15.52%

How you voted: Braga vs Chaves

Braga
90.5%
Draw
6.3%
Chaves
3.2%
63
Head to Head
Aug 19, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 2
Chaves
2-4
Braga
Hernandez (43', 53')
Pinho (3'), Sanca (67')
Nogueira (80')
Bruma (16'), Horta (58'), Banza (81'), Pizzi (90+6')
Niakate (2'), Fonte (90+11')
Apr 2, 2023 3.30pm
Gameweek 26
Chaves
1-2
Braga
Juninho (42')
Medeiros (16'), Ruiz (59')
Oct 9, 2022 8.30pm
Feb 10, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 21
Braga
2-1
Chaves
Sousa (64'), Claudemir (80')
Silva (41'), Fransergio (70')
Martins (51')
Jefferson (33'), Filipe (73')
Aug 31, 2018 7pm
Gameweek 4
Chaves
0-1
Braga

Bressan (44'), Perdigao (45')
Santos (43')
Esgaio (21'), Palhinha (52'), Sequeira (86'), Sa (89'), Eduardo (95')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CSporting Lisbon34293296296790
2Benfica34255477284980
3Porto33216662273569
4Braga33215771492268
5Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes34196952381463
6MoreirenseMoreirense34167113635155
7AroucaArouca34137145450446
8FamalicaoFamalicao341012123741-442
9Casa Pia34108163850-1238
10SC FarenseFarense34107174651-537
11Rio AveRio Ave3461993843-537
12Gil Vicente3499164252-1036
13Estoril PraiaEstoril3496194958-933
14Estrela Amadora34712153353-2033
15BoavistaBoavista34711163962-2332
16PortimonensePortimonense3488183972-3332
RVizela34511183666-3026
RChavesChaves3458213172-4123


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