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Championship header 2

League Two
Stockport County
League Two | Gameweek 23
Dec 22, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Edgeley Park
Notts County

Stockport
2 - 1
Notts County

Wootton (7'), Madden (86' pen.)
Croasdale (36'), Byrne (55'), Pye (56'), Richardson (84')
FT(HT: 1-0)
McGoldrick (90+3')
Bostock (76'), Cameron (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League Two clash between Stockport County and Notts County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Stockport County

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Stockport 8-0 Sutton
Saturday, December 16 at 3pm in League Two

Notts County

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Harrogate 3-1 Notts County
Saturday, December 16 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Stockport County 2-1 Notts County

 We anticipate a hard-fought encounter at Edgeley Park between two of League Two's strongest sides, with one goal either way likely settling it. Given their recent results and with home advantage, we give a slight edge to the table-topping hosts to get over the line and head into Christmas with an enviable lead at the summit, but they certainly face one of their toughest tests yet. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stockport County win with a probability of 53.37%. A win for Notts County had a probability of 23.98% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stockport County win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.91%) and 2-0 (8.3%). The likeliest Notts County win was 1-2 (6.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Stockport County in this match.

Result
Stockport CountyDrawNotts County
53.37% (0.050000000000004 0.05) 22.65%23.98% (-0.053000000000001 -0.05)
Both teams to score 58.43% (-0.061 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.55% (-0.052 -0.05)41.45% (0.052 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.15% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)63.85% (0.052 0.05)
Stockport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.45% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)15.54% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.52% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)44.47% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Notts County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.19% (-0.070999999999998 -0.07)30.81% (0.07 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.92% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08)67.08% (0.081999999999994 0.08)
Score Analysis
    Stockport County 53.37%
    Notts County 23.98%
    Draw 22.64%
Stockport CountyDrawNotts County
2-1 @ 9.77% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-0 @ 8.91% (0.02 0.02)
2-0 @ 8.3% (0.019 0.02)
3-1 @ 6.06% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-0 @ 5.15% (0.011 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.57% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-1 @ 2.82% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-0 @ 2.4% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-2 @ 1.66% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
5-1 @ 1.05%
Other @ 3.68%
Total : 53.37%
1-1 @ 10.49%
2-2 @ 5.75% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.79% (0.011 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.4% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 22.64%
1-2 @ 6.18% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
0-1 @ 5.64% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-2 @ 3.32% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-3 @ 2.43% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.26% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.3% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 23.98%

How you voted: Stockport vs Notts County

Stockport County
71.4%
Draw
14.3%
Notts County
14.3%
14
Head to Head
Mar 15, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 34
Stockport
3-0
Notts County
Madden (28', 71'), Crankshaw (48')
Sarcevic (53'), Madden (83')

Palmer (42'), Francis (52')
Oct 23, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 12
Notts County
2-1
Stockport
Wootton (54'), Vincent (68')
Rawlinson (18'), Wootton (63')
Whitfield (90+3' pen.)
Keane (20'), Hogan (50'), Quigley (60')
Feb 23, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 33
Stockport
0-0
Notts County
Reid (61')
Dec 15, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 12
Notts County
1-0
Stockport
Reeves (35')
Rawlinson (40')

Kitching (45+1'), Palmer (69'), Thomas (79')
Mar 24, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 49
Stockport
P-P
Notts County
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CStockport CountyStockport462711896484892
4MK Dons462391483681578
5Doncaster RoversDoncaster46218177368571
6Crewe AlexandraCrewe461914136965471
7Crawley TownCrawley46217187367670
8BarrowBarrow461815136256669
9Bradford CityBradford461912156159269
10AFC Wimbledon4617141564511365
11Walsall461811176973-465
12Gillingham461810184657-1164
13Harrogate TownHarrogate461712176069-963
14Notts County46187218986361
15Morecambe461710196781-1458
16Tranmere RoversTranmere46176236770-357
17Accrington StanleyAccrington46169216371-857
18Newport CountyNewport46167236276-1455
19Swindon TownSwindon461412207783-654
20Salford City461312216682-1651
21Grimsby Town461116195774-1749
22Colchester UnitedColchester461112235980-2145
RSutton UnitedSutton46915225984-2542
RForest Green RoversForest Green46119264478-3442
> League Two Full Table


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