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Newport County
League Two | Gameweek 46
May 8, 2023 at 12.30pm UK
Rodney Parade
Crewe Alexandra

Newport
2 - 2
Crewe

Bogle (77' pen., 90+1')
Bennett (43')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Adebisi (56'), Brook (90+3')
Thomas (52')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's League Two clash between Newport County and Crewe Alexandra, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Gillingham 1-2 Newport
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Crewe 3-2 Bradford
Wednesday, May 3 at 7.45pm in League Two

We said: Newport County 1-2 Crewe Alexandra

Crewe will be full of confidence following back-to-back wins, and we are expecting the visitors to collect another three points here. Newport's disappointing home record this season is difficult to ignore, and it could be more frustration for the majority of the fans at Rodney Parade on Monday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 58.72%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 17.65%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.66%) and 2-1 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.13%), while for a Crewe Alexandra win it was 0-1 (6.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood.

Result
Newport CountyDrawCrewe Alexandra
58.72% (-0.358 -0.36) 23.62% (0.167 0.17) 17.65% (0.19 0.19)
Both teams to score 45.93% (-0.123 -0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.6% (-0.359 -0.36)53.39% (0.357 0.36)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.07% (-0.304 -0.3)74.93% (0.303 0.3)
Newport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.06% (-0.261 -0.26)17.93% (0.259 0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.24% (-0.45 -0.45)48.76% (0.44900000000001 0.45)
Crewe Alexandra Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.96% (0.027000000000001 0.03)44.03% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.85% (0.021000000000001 0.02)80.15% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Newport County 58.72%
    Crewe Alexandra 17.65%
    Draw 23.62%
Newport CountyDrawCrewe Alexandra
1-0 @ 13.57% (0.08 0.08)
2-0 @ 11.66% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-1 @ 9.56% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
3-0 @ 6.68% (-0.076 -0.08)
3-1 @ 5.48% (-0.059 -0.06)
4-0 @ 2.87% (-0.058 -0.06)
4-1 @ 2.35% (-0.046 -0.05)
3-2 @ 2.25% (-0.022 -0.02)
5-0 @ 0.99% (-0.028 -0.03)
4-2 @ 0.97% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 58.72%
1-1 @ 11.13% (0.07 0.07)
0-0 @ 7.9% (0.11 0.11)
2-2 @ 3.92% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.67%
Total : 23.62%
0-1 @ 6.48% (0.095 0.09)
1-2 @ 4.57% (0.031000000000001 0.03)
0-2 @ 2.66% (0.041 0.04)
1-3 @ 1.25% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.07% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 1.63%
Total : 17.65%

How you voted: Newport vs Crewe

Newport County
83.3%
Draw
0.0%
Crewe Alexandra
16.7%
6
Head to Head
Dec 2, 2022 7.45pm
gameweek 20
Crewe
1-2
Newport
Brook (13')
Norman (62'), Zanzala (85')
Drysdale (15')
Apr 10, 2020 3pm
Aug 24, 2019 3pm
gameweek 5
Newport
1-0
Crewe
Amond (93')
Jan 12, 2019 3pm
gameweek 28
Crewe
3-2
Newport
Bowery (34'), Porter (88' pen.), Ainley (90')
Ray (69')
Semenyo (65'), Amond (76')
Matt (72'), Semenyo (74')
Aug 11, 2018 3pm
gameweek 2
Newport
1-0
Crewe
Amond (33')
Crofts (16')

Kirk (45')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CStockport CountyStockport462711896484892
4MK Dons462391483681578
5Doncaster RoversDoncaster46218177368571
6Crewe AlexandraCrewe461914136965471
7Crawley TownCrawley46217187367670
8BarrowBarrow461815136256669
9Bradford CityBradford461912156159269
10AFC Wimbledon4617141564511365
11Walsall461811176973-465
12Gillingham461810184657-1164
13Harrogate TownHarrogate461712176069-963
14Notts County46187218986361
15Morecambe461710196781-1458
16Tranmere RoversTranmere46176236770-357
17Accrington StanleyAccrington46169216371-857
18Newport CountyNewport46167236276-1455
19Swindon TownSwindon461412207783-654
20Salford City461312216682-1651
21Grimsby Town461116195774-1749
22Colchester UnitedColchester461112235980-2145
RSutton UnitedSutton46915225984-2542
RForest Green RoversForest Green46119264478-3442


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