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MK Dons
League Two | Gameweek 15
Oct 24, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stadium mk
Bradford City

MK Dons
4 - 1
Bradford

Tomlinson (4'), Payne (31'), Dean (59'), Gilbey (90')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Gilliead (17')
Taylor (30'), McDonald (39'), Ridehalgh (52'), Stubbs (70')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between MK Dons and Bradford City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Accrington 1-0 MK Dons
Saturday, October 21 at 3pm in League Two

We said: MK Dons 1-1 Bradford City

These two sides will still hope to push for a play-off spot this season, with Bradford certainly looking more likely to achieve that based on current form. While MK Dons surely possess too much quality for their winless streak to endure much longer, we can envisage a score draw between these sides on Tuesday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 37.47%. A win for Bradford City had a probability of 36.07% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.24%) and 2-0 (6.44%). The likeliest Bradford City win was 0-1 (9.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.58%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that MK Dons would win this match.

Result
MK DonsDrawBradford City
37.47% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09) 26.46% (-0.2 -0.2) 36.07% (0.297 0.3)
Both teams to score 52.67% (0.686 0.69)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.85% (0.85899999999999 0.86)52.15% (-0.856 -0.86)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.14% (0.738 0.74)73.86% (-0.733 -0.73)
MK Dons Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.99% (0.354 0.35)27.01% (-0.35 -0.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.63% (0.46 0.46)62.37% (-0.456 -0.46)
Bradford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.17% (0.59500000000001 0.6)27.83% (-0.591 -0.59)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.57% (0.753 0.75)63.42% (-0.749 -0.75)
Score Analysis
    MK Dons 37.47%
    Bradford City 36.07%
    Draw 26.46%
MK DonsDrawBradford City
1-0 @ 9.84% (-0.231 -0.23)
2-1 @ 8.24% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
2-0 @ 6.44% (-0.091 -0.09)
3-1 @ 3.59% (0.044 0.04)
3-0 @ 2.81% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.3% (0.065 0.07)
4-1 @ 1.18% (0.026 0.03)
4-0 @ 0.92% (0.005 0.01)
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 37.47%
1-1 @ 12.58% (-0.09 -0.09)
0-0 @ 7.52% (-0.26 -0.26)
2-2 @ 5.27% (0.1 0.1)
3-3 @ 0.98% (0.044 0.04)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.46%
0-1 @ 9.62% (-0.168 -0.17)
1-2 @ 8.05% (0.073 0.07)
0-2 @ 6.15% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-3 @ 3.43% (0.087 0.09)
0-3 @ 2.62% (0.041 0.04)
2-3 @ 2.25% (0.079 0.08)
1-4 @ 1.1% (0.046 0.05)
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 36.07%

Head to Head
Apr 24, 2018 7.45pm
Oct 7, 2017 3pm
MK Dons
1-4
Bradford
Ebanks-Landell (45')
Gilbey (44'), Aneke (84'), Upson (86'), Lewington (87')
Tshibola (5')
Vincelot (11'), Wyke (18', 71'), Taylor (82')
Knight-Percival (69'), Kilgallon (86')
Feb 28, 2017 7.45pm
Bradford
2-2
MK Dons
McMahon (22' pen.), Wyke (43')
O'Keefe (4'), Williams (35')
Walsh (22'), Williams (69')
Aug 16, 2016 7.45pm
MK Dons
1-2
Bradford
Upson (94')
Walsh (86'), Upson (96')
Cullen (12'), Clarke (17')
Knight-Percival (63')
Feb 9, 2015 7.45pm
Bradford
2-1
MK Dons
Clarke (56'), Hanson (70')
Morais (37'), Meredith (66'), Clarke (72')
Alli (54')
Kay (35'), Baker (37'), Potter (81'), Powell (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CStockport CountyStockport462711896484892
4MK Dons462391483681578
5Doncaster RoversDoncaster46218177368571
6Crewe AlexandraCrewe461914136965471
7Crawley TownCrawley46217187367670
8BarrowBarrow461815136256669
9Bradford CityBradford461912156159269
10AFC Wimbledon4617141564511365
11Walsall461811176973-465
12Gillingham461810184657-1164
13Harrogate TownHarrogate461712176069-963
14Notts County46187218986361
15Morecambe461710196781-1458
16Tranmere RoversTranmere46176236770-357
17Accrington StanleyAccrington46169216371-857
18Newport CountyNewport46167236276-1455
19Swindon TownSwindon461412207783-654
20Salford City461312216682-1651
21Grimsby Town461116195774-1749
22Colchester UnitedColchester461112235980-2145
RSutton UnitedSutton46915225984-2542
RForest Green RoversForest Green46119264478-3442


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