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Forest Green Rovers
League Two | Gameweek 41
Mar 29, 2024 at 3pm UK
The New Lawn
Stockport County

Forest Green
0 - 3
Stockport


Osadebe (33'), Bunker (76')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Camps (18'), Richards (28'), Lemonheigh-Evans (51')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League Two clash between Forest Green Rovers and Stockport County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stockport 5-0 MK Dons
Saturday, March 23 at 5.15pm in League Two

We said: Forest Green Rovers 0-4 Stockport County

Stockport's emphatic victory against their promotion rivals MK Dons last time out could prove to be a hugely important one, not least as it is likely to breathe new fire into their final eight matches of the season. Forest Green have lost successive games in recent weeks and we would be amazed if that is not extended to three by the time that the referee's full-time whistle blows on Friday, and they may be lucky to avoid a thrashing. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stockport County win with a probability of 57.94%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Forest Green Rovers had a probability of 19.47%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stockport County win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.22%) and 1-2 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.72%), while for a Forest Green Rovers win it was 1-0 (5.82%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Stockport County would win this match.

Result
Forest Green RoversDrawStockport County
19.47% (0.029 0.03) 22.59% (0.012999999999998 0.01) 57.94% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)
Both teams to score 52.18% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.31% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)46.69% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.04% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)68.95% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Forest Green Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.99% (0.027000000000001 0.03)38.01% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.22% (0.024000000000001 0.02)74.78% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Stockport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.17% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02)15.82% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)45% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Forest Green Rovers 19.47%
    Stockport County 57.94%
    Draw 22.58%
Forest Green RoversDrawStockport County
1-0 @ 5.82% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-1 @ 5.19% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-0 @ 2.81% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-1 @ 1.67% (0.004 0)
3-2 @ 1.54% (0.002 0)
3-0 @ 0.91% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.53%
Total : 19.47%
1-1 @ 10.72%
0-0 @ 6.02% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-2 @ 4.78% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-3 @ 0.95% (0.001 0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 22.58%
0-1 @ 11.09%
0-2 @ 10.22% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 9.89% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-3 @ 6.28% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
1-3 @ 6.08% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
2-3 @ 2.94% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-4 @ 2.9% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
1-4 @ 2.8% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
2-4 @ 1.35% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-5 @ 1.07% (-0.002 -0)
1-5 @ 1.03% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 57.94%

How you voted: Forest Green vs Stockport

Forest Green Rovers
10.5%
Draw
10.5%
Stockport County
78.9%
19
Head to Head
Oct 3, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 11
Stockport
2-0
Forest Green
Olaofe (15'), Sarcevic (35')
Southam-Hales (47')

Lavinier (39')
Lavinier (62')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CStockport CountyStockport452711795464992
4MK Dons452381479641577
5Doncaster RoversDoncaster45217177166570
6Crewe AlexandraCrewe451913136864470
7BarrowBarrow451814136155668
8Crawley TownCrawley45207187167467
9Bradford CityBradford451812155758-166
10Walsall451811166868065
11Gillingham45189184455-1163
12AFC Wimbledon451614155950962
13Harrogate TownHarrogate451711175867-962
14Notts County45187208985461
15Tranmere RoversTranmere45176226666057
16Morecambe45179196478-1457
17Newport CountyNewport45167226172-1155
18Accrington StanleyAccrington45159215970-1154
19Swindon TownSwindon451411207480-653
20Salford City451311216480-1650
21Grimsby Town451116185772-1549
22Colchester UnitedColchester451111235879-2144
23Sutton UnitedSutton45914225580-2541
RForest Green RoversForest Green45109264378-3539


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