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AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Colchester United
Crawley Town
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Forest Green Rovers
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Mansfield Town
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Salford City
Stockport County
Sutton United
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Wrexham AFC
Accrington Stanley
League Two | Gameweek 18
Nov 18, 2023 at 3pm UK
Wham Stadium
Wrexham AFC

Accrington
2 - 0
Wrexham

Leigh (50' pen.), Longelo-Mbule (72')
Adedoyin (28')
FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Accrington Stanley and Wrexham, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Wrexham 2-0 Gillingham
Saturday, November 11 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Accrington Stanley 0-2 Wrexham

Wrexham may possess one of the worst attacking records away from home in the top half of the League Two table, but Parkinson's stingy defence should have no problems keeping an out-of-sorts Accrington team at bay. With injuries also rearing their ugly heads for the hosts, a replenished Wrexham crop boosted by the return of a well-rested Mullin should stroll to a sixth successive victory this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 38.36%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 36.78% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.17%) and 0-2 (5.96%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 2-1 (8.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.

Result
Accrington StanleyDrawWrexham
36.78% (0.561 0.56) 24.86% (-0.113 -0.11) 38.36% (-0.444 -0.44)
Both teams to score 58.27% (0.457 0.46)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55% (0.572 0.57)45% (-0.567 -0.57)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.65% (0.547 0.55)67.35% (-0.542 -0.54)
Accrington Stanley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.91% (0.572 0.57)24.08% (-0.569 -0.57)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.63% (0.806 0.81)58.37% (-0.802 -0.8)
Wrexham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.75% (0.028000000000006 0.03)23.25% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.83% (0.038000000000004 0.04)57.16% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Accrington Stanley 36.78%
    Wrexham 38.36%
    Draw 24.85%
Accrington StanleyDrawWrexham
2-1 @ 8.28% (0.077 0.08)
1-0 @ 7.97% (-0.063 -0.06)
2-0 @ 5.67% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
3-1 @ 3.93% (0.1 0.1)
3-2 @ 2.87% (0.075 0.08)
3-0 @ 2.69% (0.068 0.07)
4-1 @ 1.4% (0.058 0.06)
4-2 @ 1.02% (0.043 0.04)
4-0 @ 0.96% (0.039 0.04)
Other @ 1.99%
Total : 36.78%
1-1 @ 11.62% (-0.090000000000002 -0.09)
2-2 @ 6.04% (0.061 0.06)
0-0 @ 5.6% (-0.138 -0.14)
3-3 @ 1.39% (0.038 0.04)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.85%
1-2 @ 8.48% (-0.055 -0.05)
0-1 @ 8.17% (-0.195 -0.2)
0-2 @ 5.96% (-0.138 -0.14)
1-3 @ 4.13% (-0.023 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.94% (0.032 0.03)
0-3 @ 2.9% (-0.065 -0.07)
1-4 @ 1.51% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.07% (0.012 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.06% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 38.36%

How you voted: Accrington vs Wrexham

Accrington Stanley
16.0%
Draw
24.0%
Wrexham
60.0%
25
Head to Head
Apr 26, 2008 3pm
Wrexham
1-3
Accrington
Roberts (90' pen.)
Evans (20')
Pejic (7' og.), Cavanagh (28'), Whalley (72')
Craney (20'), Whalley (72'), Cavanagh (73')
Oct 5, 2007 3pm
Accrington
0-2
Wrexham

Webb (84')
Roberts (37', 66')
Jan 1, 2007 3pm
Wrexham
1-3
Accrington
Johnson (45')
Crowell (13'), Valentine (36'), Evans (55')
Brown (83', 86'), Mullin (17')
Harris (30')
Sep 13, 2006 3pm
Accrington
5-0
Wrexham
Cavanagh (55'), Roberts (52', 67'), Craney (49'), Mullin (41')
Cavanagh (30')

Valentine (81'), Llewellyn (89')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CStockport CountyStockport462711896484892
4MK Dons462391483681578
5Doncaster RoversDoncaster46218177368571
6Crewe AlexandraCrewe461914136965471
7Crawley TownCrawley46217187367670
8BarrowBarrow461815136256669
9Bradford CityBradford461912156159269
10AFC Wimbledon4617141564511365
11Walsall461811176973-465
12Gillingham461810184657-1164
13Harrogate TownHarrogate461712176069-963
14Notts County46187218986361
15Morecambe461710196781-1458
16Tranmere RoversTranmere46176236770-357
17Accrington StanleyAccrington46169216371-857
18Newport CountyNewport46167236276-1455
19Swindon TownSwindon461412207783-654
20Salford City461312216682-1651
21Grimsby Town461116195774-1749
22Colchester UnitedColchester461112235980-2145
RSutton UnitedSutton46915225984-2542
RForest Green RoversForest Green46119264478-3442


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