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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 63.6%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Cambridge United had a probability of 16.33%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.92%) and 1-0 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.41%), while for a Cambridge United win it was 1-2 (4.55%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-1 win for Portsmouth in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Portsmouth.
Result | ||
Portsmouth | Draw | Cambridge United |
63.6% | 20.06% | 16.33% |
Both teams to score 54.43% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.33% | 40.66% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.95% | 63.05% |
Portsmouth Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.85% | 12.14% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
62.25% | 37.74% |
Cambridge United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.95% | 38.04% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.19% | 74.81% |
Score Analysis |
Portsmouth | Draw | Cambridge United |
2-0 @ 10.26% 2-1 @ 9.92% 1-0 @ 9.74% 3-0 @ 7.22% 3-1 @ 6.97% 4-0 @ 3.8% 4-1 @ 3.68% 3-2 @ 3.37% 4-2 @ 1.78% 5-0 @ 1.6% 5-1 @ 1.55% Other @ 3.7% Total : 63.59% | 1-1 @ 9.41% 2-2 @ 4.8% 0-0 @ 4.62% 3-3 @ 1.09% Other @ 0.15% Total : 20.06% | 1-2 @ 4.55% 0-1 @ 4.46% 0-2 @ 2.16% 2-3 @ 1.55% 1-3 @ 1.47% Other @ 2.15% Total : 16.33% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Portsmouth | 46 | 28 | 13 | 5 | 78 | 41 | 37 | 97 |
P | Derby CountyDerby | 46 | 28 | 8 | 10 | 78 | 37 | 41 | 92 |
3 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 46 | 25 | 12 | 9 | 86 | 51 | 35 | 87 |
4 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 46 | 25 | 9 | 12 | 89 | 61 | 28 | 84 |
5 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 79 | 56 | 23 | 77 |
6 | Barnsley | 46 | 21 | 13 | 12 | 82 | 64 | 18 | 76 |
7 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 46 | 20 | 14 | 12 | 65 | 40 | 25 | 74 |
8 | Blackpool | 46 | 21 | 10 | 15 | 65 | 48 | 17 | 73 |
9 | Stevenage | 46 | 19 | 14 | 13 | 57 | 46 | 11 | 71 |
10 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 46 | 17 | 14 | 15 | 60 | 55 | 5 | 65 |
11 | Leyton Orient | 46 | 18 | 11 | 17 | 53 | 55 | -2 | 65 |
12 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 46 | 20 | 10 | 16 | 63 | 56 | 7 | 62 |
13 | Exeter CityExeter | 46 | 17 | 10 | 19 | 46 | 61 | -15 | 61 |
14 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 46 | 17 | 9 | 20 | 57 | 66 | -9 | 60 |
15 | Bristol Rovers | 46 | 16 | 9 | 21 | 52 | 68 | -16 | 57 |
16 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 46 | 11 | 20 | 15 | 64 | 65 | -1 | 53 |
17 | Reading | 46 | 16 | 11 | 19 | 68 | 70 | -2 | 53 |
18 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 46 | 12 | 12 | 22 | 39 | 61 | -22 | 48 |
19 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 46 | 13 | 9 | 24 | 35 | 67 | -32 | 48 |
20 | Burton Albion | 46 | 12 | 10 | 24 | 39 | 67 | -28 | 46 |
R | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 46 | 12 | 8 | 26 | 41 | 65 | -24 | 44 |
R | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 46 | 10 | 13 | 23 | 49 | 72 | -23 | 43 |
R | Port Vale | 46 | 10 | 11 | 25 | 41 | 74 | -33 | 41 |
R | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 46 | 7 | 9 | 30 | 41 | 81 | -40 | 30 |
> League One Full Table |