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Port Vale
League One | Gameweek 7
Sep 19, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Vale Park
Burton Albion

Port Vale
2 - 3
Burton Albion

Garrity (40'), Arblaster (86')
Clark (64'), Ripley (70')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Lubala (11'), Seddon (51'), Baah (61')
Hughes (17'), Helm (75'), Powell (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Port Vale and Burton Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Barnsley 2-0 Burton Albion
Saturday, September 16 at 3pm in League One

We said: Port Vale 2-0 Burton Albion

With Port Vale proving to be an irresistible force in the early stages of the season, we think that they will continue their fine run of form by collecting all three points against a struggling Burton side. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 49.6%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Burton Albion had a probability of 24.88%.

The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.37%) and 2-0 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.11%), while for a Burton Albion win it was 0-1 (7.84%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.

Result
Port ValeDrawBurton Albion
49.6% (5.002 5) 25.51% (-0.858 -0.86) 24.88% (-4.145 -4.15)
Both teams to score 50.18% (-0.58600000000001 -0.59)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.18% (0.767 0.77)52.82% (-0.767 -0.77)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.56% (0.652 0.65)74.44% (-0.652 -0.65)
Port Vale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.69% (2.606 2.61)21.31% (-2.606 -2.61)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.74% (3.874 3.87)54.26% (-3.873 -3.87)
Burton Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.78% (-2.954 -2.95)36.22% (2.955 2.96)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.99% (-3.125 -3.13)73.01% (3.126 3.13)
Score Analysis
    Port Vale 49.6%
    Burton Albion 24.89%
    Draw 25.5%
Port ValeDrawBurton Albion
1-0 @ 11.93% (0.55 0.55)
2-1 @ 9.37% (0.406 0.41)
2-0 @ 9.23% (1.083 1.08)
3-1 @ 4.83% (0.554 0.55)
3-0 @ 4.75% (0.871 0.87)
3-2 @ 2.45% (0.099 0.1)
4-1 @ 1.87% (0.338 0.34)
4-0 @ 1.84% (0.448 0.45)
4-2 @ 0.95% (0.106 0.11)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 49.6%
1-1 @ 12.11% (-0.41 -0.41)
0-0 @ 7.72% (-0.237 -0.24)
2-2 @ 4.76% (-0.175 -0.18)
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 25.5%
0-1 @ 7.84% (-0.918 -0.92)
1-2 @ 6.15% (-0.741 -0.74)
0-2 @ 3.98% (-0.839 -0.84)
1-3 @ 2.08% (-0.446 -0.45)
2-3 @ 1.61% (-0.199 -0.2)
0-3 @ 1.35% (-0.421 -0.42)
Other @ 1.87%
Total : 24.89%

How you voted: Port Vale vs Burton Albion

Port Vale
85.7%
Draw
7.1%
Burton Albion
7.1%
28
Head to Head
Mar 18, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 37
Port Vale
2-3
Burton Albion
Harrison (2'), Proctor (80')
Taylor (8', 67'), Smith (48' pen.)
Aug 20, 2022 3pm
Dec 4, 2021 3pm
Second Round
Burton Albion
1-2
Port Vale
Leak (23')
Shaughnessy (88')
Politic (79', 82')
Aug 13, 2019 7.45pm
First Round
Port Vale
1-2
Burton Albion
Cullen (53')
Gibbons (43'), Bennett (83'), Amoo (92')
Boyce (9'), Fraser (62')
Akins (79'), Daniel (91')
Oct 9, 2018 7.45pm
Group Stage
Port Vale
1-0
Burton Albion
Miller (65')
Clark (63'), Miller (87')

McCrory (48')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CPortsmouth462813578413797
3Bolton WanderersBolton462512986513587
4Peterborough UnitedPeterborough462591289612884
5Oxford UnitedOxford Utd4622111379562377
6Barnsley4621131282641876
7Lincoln CityLincoln4620141265402574
8Blackpool4621101565481773
9Stevenage4619141357461171
10Wycombe WanderersWycombe461714156055565
11Leyton Orient461811175355-265
12Wigan AthleticWigan462010166356762
13Exeter CityExeter461710194661-1561
14Northampton TownNorthampton46179205766-960
15Bristol Rovers46169215268-1657
16Charlton AthleticCharlton461120156465-153
17Reading461611196870-253
18Cambridge UnitedCambridge461212223961-2248
19Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury46139243567-3248
20Burton Albion461210243967-2846
RCheltenham TownCheltenham46128264165-2444
RFleetwood TownFleetwood461013234972-2343
RPort Vale461011254174-3341
RCarlisle UnitedCarlisle4679304181-4030


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