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Bristol Rovers
League One | Gameweek 30
Jan 27, 2024 at 3pm UK
Memorial Stadium
Oxford United

Bristol Rovers
3 - 1
Oxford Utd

Martin (16'), Thomas (22'), Vale (77')
Wilson (34')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Harris (58')
Stevens (45+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Bristol Rovers and Oxford United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Bristol Rovers 1-2 Oxford United

Bristol Rovers are enduring a wretched run of form but have the opportunity to put things right quickly this weekend, although the visit of Oxford will be a tough assignment. The U's need a win to keep the playoff-chasing pack at arm's length, and we feel that Des Buckingham's men will be able to secure three points on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol Rovers win with a probability of 40.15%. A win for Oxford United had a probability of 35.3% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bristol Rovers win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.07%) and 2-0 (6.15%). The likeliest Oxford United win was 1-2 (8.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.41%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bristol Rovers would win this match.

Result
Bristol RoversDrawOxford United
40.15% (0.0030000000000001 0) 24.55% (-0.0010000000000012 -0) 35.3% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Both teams to score 59.19%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.27% (0.0010000000000048 0)43.73% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.88% (0.0010000000000048 0)66.12% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Bristol Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.2% (0.0010000000000048 0)21.79% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45% (0.0030000000000001 0)55% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.68%24.31% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.3% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)58.69%
Score Analysis
    Bristol Rovers 40.15%
    Oxford United 35.3%
    Draw 24.55%
Bristol RoversDrawOxford United
2-1 @ 8.7%
1-0 @ 8.07%
2-0 @ 6.15%
3-1 @ 4.42% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-2 @ 3.12%
3-0 @ 3.12%
4-1 @ 1.68%
4-2 @ 1.19% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 1.19%
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 40.15%
1-1 @ 11.41%
2-2 @ 6.15%
0-0 @ 5.3% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-3 @ 1.47%
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 24.55%
1-2 @ 8.07% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
0-1 @ 7.49%
0-2 @ 5.3% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-3 @ 3.81% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 2.9%
0-3 @ 2.5%
1-4 @ 1.35%
2-4 @ 1.03%
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 35.3%

How you voted: Bristol Rovers vs Oxford Utd

Bristol Rovers
33.3%
Draw
14.3%
Oxford United
52.4%
21
Head to Head
Oct 7, 2023 12.30pm
Gameweek 12
Oxford Utd
2-1
Bristol Rovers
Bodin (13'), Long (81')
Brannagan (15'), Moore (46'), Smyth (90')
Smyth (90+5'), Mills (90+6')
Collins (89')
Barton (16'), Martin (48'), Brown (57'), Finley (78')
Brown (63')
Feb 25, 2023 12.30pm
Gameweek 34
Oxford Utd
0-3
Bristol Rovers
Sinclair (22' pen.), Collins (28'), Hoole (75')
Aug 13, 2022 12.30pm
Gameweek 3
Bristol Rovers
1-0
Oxford Utd
Marquis (34')
Saunders (65'), Grant (90+2')

Seddon (29'), Moore (40'), Brannagan (90+3')
Nov 16, 2021 7pm
First Round Replays
Bristol Rovers
4-3
Oxford Utd
Finley (48'), Spence (110', 118'), Collins (115')
Evans (50'), Spence (107')
Taylor (57' pen.), Bodin (91'), Seddon (93')
Kane (4'), Bodin (38')
Nov 7, 2021 1pm
First Round
Oxford Utd
2-2
Bristol Rovers
Taylor (11'), McGuane (51')
Taylor (32')
Finley (45+2'), Evans (87' pen.)
Finley (33'), Coutts (45')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CPortsmouth462813578413797
3Bolton WanderersBolton462512986513587
4Peterborough UnitedPeterborough462591289612884
5Oxford UnitedOxford Utd4622111379562377
6Barnsley4621131282641876
7Lincoln CityLincoln4620141265402574
8Blackpool4621101565481773
9Stevenage4619141357461171
10Wycombe WanderersWycombe461714156055565
11Leyton Orient461811175355-265
12Wigan AthleticWigan462010166356762
13Exeter CityExeter461710194661-1561
14Northampton TownNorthampton46179205766-960
15Bristol Rovers46169215268-1657
16Charlton AthleticCharlton461120156465-153
17Reading461611196870-253
18Cambridge UnitedCambridge461212223961-2248
19Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury46139243567-3248
20Burton Albion461210243967-2846
RCheltenham TownCheltenham46128264165-2444
RFleetwood TownFleetwood461013234972-2343
RPort Vale461011254174-3341
RCarlisle UnitedCarlisle4679304181-4030


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