Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sligo Rovers win with a probability of 41.12%. A win for Finn Harps had a probability of 30.45% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sligo Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.18%) and 2-0 (7.99%). The likeliest Finn Harps win was 0-1 (10.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Sligo Rovers in this match.
