Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sevilla win with a probability of 55.94%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Getafe had a probability of 19.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.25%) and 2-1 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.61%), while for a Getafe win it was 0-1 (7.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sevilla would win this match.
Result | ||
Sevilla | Draw | Getafe |
55.94% ( 0.13) | 24.78% ( -0.07) | 19.29% ( -0.06) |
Both teams to score 45.44% ( 0.11) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.48% ( 0.19) | 55.52% ( -0.19) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.3% ( 0.16) | 76.7% ( -0.16) |
Sevilla Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.21% ( 0.13) | 19.79% ( -0.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.14% ( 0.21) | 51.86% ( -0.21) |
Getafe Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
56.65% ( 0.05) | 43.35% ( -0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
20.42% ( 0.04) | 79.58% ( -0.04) |
Score Analysis |
Sevilla | Draw | Getafe |
1-0 @ 13.89% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 11.25% 2-1 @ 9.41% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 6.08% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 5.08% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 2.46% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.12% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.06% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.58% Total : 55.92% | 1-1 @ 11.61% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 8.58% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 3.93% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.65% Total : 24.77% | 0-1 @ 7.17% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 4.86% ( -0) 0-2 @ 3% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.35% 2-3 @ 1.1% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.81% Total : 19.29% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Real Madrid | 36 | 29 | 6 | 1 | 83 | 22 | 61 | 93 |
2 | Barcelona | 35 | 23 | 7 | 5 | 72 | 43 | 29 | 76 |
3 | GironaGirona | 36 | 23 | 6 | 7 | 75 | 45 | 30 | 75 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 35 | 22 | 4 | 9 | 64 | 39 | 25 | 70 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 35 | 17 | 11 | 7 | 57 | 35 | 22 | 62 |
6 | Real BetisBetis | 35 | 14 | 13 | 8 | 46 | 41 | 5 | 55 |
7 | Real Sociedad | 35 | 14 | 12 | 9 | 48 | 37 | 11 | 54 |
8 | Villarreal | 36 | 14 | 9 | 13 | 60 | 60 | 0 | 51 |
9 | Valencia | 35 | 13 | 9 | 13 | 37 | 39 | -2 | 48 |
10 | Getafe | 35 | 10 | 13 | 12 | 41 | 48 | -7 | 43 |
11 | AlavesAlaves | 36 | 11 | 9 | 16 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 42 |
12 | Sevilla | 35 | 10 | 11 | 14 | 47 | 49 | -2 | 41 |
13 | Osasuna | 36 | 11 | 8 | 17 | 40 | 54 | -14 | 41 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 35 | 10 | 7 | 18 | 30 | 44 | -14 | 37 |
15 | Mallorca | 36 | 7 | 15 | 14 | 29 | 41 | -12 | 36 |
16 | Rayo Vallecano | 35 | 7 | 14 | 14 | 27 | 43 | -16 | 35 |
17 | Celta Vigo | 35 | 8 | 10 | 17 | 40 | 53 | -13 | 34 |
18 | CadizCadiz | 35 | 5 | 14 | 16 | 24 | 49 | -25 | 29 |
R | Granada | 35 | 4 | 9 | 22 | 36 | 68 | -32 | 21 |
R | Almeria | 35 | 2 | 11 | 22 | 35 | 70 | -35 | 17 |
> La Liga Full Table |