Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 62.29%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Granada had a probability of 17.03%.
The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.1%) and 1-2 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.75%), while for a Granada win it was 1-0 (4.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Villarreal would win this match.
Result | ||
Granada | Draw | Villarreal |
17.03% | 20.68% | 62.29% |
Both teams to score 53.83% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.8% | 42.2% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.39% | 64.6% |
Granada Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.87% | 38.13% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.11% | 74.89% |
Villarreal Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.01% | 12.99% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
60.5% | 39.5% |
Score Analysis |
Granada | Draw | Villarreal |
1-0 @ 4.77% 2-1 @ 4.7% 2-0 @ 2.3% 3-2 @ 1.54% 3-1 @ 1.51% Other @ 2.21% Total : 17.03% | 1-1 @ 9.75% 0-0 @ 4.95% 2-2 @ 4.8% 3-3 @ 1.05% Other @ 0.14% Total : 20.68% | 0-2 @ 10.31% 0-1 @ 10.1% 1-2 @ 9.95% 0-3 @ 7.02% 1-3 @ 6.77% 0-4 @ 3.58% 1-4 @ 3.45% 2-3 @ 3.26% 2-4 @ 1.67% 0-5 @ 1.46% 1-5 @ 1.41% Other @ 3.29% Total : 62.27% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Real Madrid | 35 | 28 | 6 | 1 | 78 | 22 | 56 | 90 |
2 | GironaGirona | 35 | 23 | 6 | 6 | 75 | 44 | 31 | 75 |
3 | Barcelona | 34 | 22 | 7 | 5 | 70 | 43 | 27 | 73 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 35 | 22 | 4 | 9 | 64 | 39 | 25 | 70 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 35 | 17 | 11 | 7 | 57 | 35 | 22 | 62 |
6 | Real BetisBetis | 35 | 14 | 13 | 8 | 46 | 41 | 5 | 55 |
7 | Real Sociedad | 34 | 14 | 12 | 8 | 48 | 35 | 13 | 54 |
8 | Valencia | 35 | 13 | 9 | 13 | 37 | 39 | -2 | 48 |
9 | Villarreal | 35 | 13 | 9 | 13 | 59 | 60 | -1 | 48 |
10 | Getafe | 35 | 10 | 13 | 12 | 41 | 48 | -7 | 43 |
11 | AlavesAlaves | 35 | 11 | 9 | 15 | 34 | 40 | -6 | 42 |
12 | Sevilla | 35 | 10 | 11 | 14 | 47 | 49 | -2 | 41 |
13 | Osasuna | 35 | 11 | 7 | 17 | 39 | 53 | -14 | 40 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 35 | 10 | 7 | 18 | 30 | 44 | -14 | 37 |
15 | Mallorca | 35 | 7 | 14 | 14 | 28 | 40 | -12 | 35 |
16 | Rayo Vallecano | 35 | 7 | 14 | 14 | 27 | 43 | -16 | 35 |
17 | Celta Vigo | 35 | 8 | 10 | 17 | 40 | 53 | -13 | 34 |
18 | CadizCadiz | 35 | 5 | 14 | 16 | 24 | 49 | -25 | 29 |
R | Granada | 35 | 4 | 9 | 22 | 36 | 68 | -32 | 21 |
R | Almeria | 35 | 2 | 11 | 22 | 35 | 70 | -35 | 17 |
> La Liga Full Table |