Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Getafe win with a probability of 40.6%. A win for Sevilla had a probability of 30.64% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Getafe win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.04%) and 2-0 (7.94%). The likeliest Sevilla win was 0-1 (10.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Getafe would win this match.
Result | ||
Getafe | Draw | Sevilla |
40.6% ( 0.46) | 28.75% ( -0.13) | 30.64% ( -0.33) |
Both teams to score 44.73% ( 0.23) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
38.39% ( 0.34) | 61.6% ( -0.34) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
18.55% ( 0.25) | 81.44% ( -0.25) |
Getafe Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.24% ( 0.43) | 29.76% ( -0.43) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.17% ( 0.52) | 65.83% ( -0.52) |
Sevilla Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.68% ( -0.07) | 36.32% ( 0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.89% ( -0.07) | 73.1% ( 0.06) |
Score Analysis |
Getafe | Draw | Sevilla |
1-0 @ 13.09% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.04% ( 0.08) 2-0 @ 7.94% ( 0.09) 3-1 @ 3.25% ( 0.07) 3-0 @ 3.21% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 1.65% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 0.98% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 0.97% ( 0.03) Other @ 1.47% Total : 40.6% | 1-1 @ 13.26% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 10.8% ( -0.14) 2-2 @ 4.07% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.6% Total : 28.73% | 0-1 @ 10.94% ( -0.16) 1-2 @ 6.72% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 5.54% ( -0.09) 1-3 @ 2.27% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.87% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.38% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.92% Total : 30.64% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Real Madrid | 36 | 29 | 6 | 1 | 83 | 22 | 61 | 93 |
2 | Barcelona | 35 | 23 | 7 | 5 | 72 | 43 | 29 | 76 |
3 | GironaGirona | 36 | 23 | 6 | 7 | 75 | 45 | 30 | 75 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 36 | 23 | 4 | 9 | 67 | 39 | 28 | 73 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 36 | 17 | 11 | 8 | 58 | 37 | 21 | 62 |
6 | Real BetisBetis | 35 | 14 | 13 | 8 | 46 | 41 | 5 | 55 |
7 | Real Sociedad | 35 | 14 | 12 | 9 | 48 | 37 | 11 | 54 |
8 | Villarreal | 36 | 14 | 9 | 13 | 60 | 60 | 0 | 51 |
9 | Valencia | 35 | 13 | 9 | 13 | 37 | 39 | -2 | 48 |
10 | Getafe | 36 | 10 | 13 | 13 | 41 | 51 | -10 | 43 |
11 | AlavesAlaves | 36 | 11 | 9 | 16 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 42 |
12 | Sevilla | 36 | 10 | 11 | 15 | 47 | 50 | -3 | 41 |
13 | Osasuna | 36 | 11 | 8 | 17 | 40 | 54 | -14 | 41 |
14 | Rayo Vallecano | 36 | 8 | 14 | 14 | 29 | 44 | -15 | 38 |
15 | Celta Vigo | 36 | 9 | 10 | 17 | 42 | 54 | -12 | 37 |
16 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 35 | 10 | 7 | 18 | 30 | 44 | -14 | 37 |
17 | Mallorca | 36 | 7 | 15 | 14 | 29 | 41 | -12 | 36 |
18 | CadizCadiz | 36 | 6 | 14 | 16 | 25 | 49 | -24 | 32 |
R | Granada | 36 | 4 | 9 | 23 | 37 | 70 | -33 | 21 |
R | Almeria | 35 | 2 | 11 | 22 | 35 | 70 | -35 | 17 |
> La Liga Full Table |