Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 40.06%. A win for Rayo Vallecano had a probability of 30.06% and a draw had a probability of 29.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.07%) and 2-1 (7.64%). The likeliest Rayo Vallecano win was 0-1 (11.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Athletic Bilbao | Draw | Rayo Vallecano |
40.06% | 29.87% | 30.06% |
Both teams to score 41.63% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
34.68% | 65.31% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
15.89% | 84.11% |
Athletic Bilbao Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.04% | 31.95% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.59% | 68.41% |
Rayo Vallecano Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.17% | 38.82% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.44% | 75.56% |
Score Analysis |
Athletic Bilbao | Draw | Rayo Vallecano |
1-0 @ 14.15% 2-0 @ 8.07% 2-1 @ 7.64% 3-0 @ 3.07% 3-1 @ 2.91% 3-2 @ 1.37% Other @ 2.85% Total : 40.06% | 1-1 @ 13.39% 0-0 @ 12.4% 2-2 @ 3.61% Other @ 0.46% Total : 29.87% | 0-1 @ 11.73% 1-2 @ 6.34% 0-2 @ 5.55% 1-3 @ 2% 0-3 @ 1.75% 2-3 @ 1.14% Other @ 1.55% Total : 30.05% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Real Madrid | 34 | 27 | 6 | 1 | 74 | 22 | 52 | 87 |
2 | GironaGirona | 34 | 23 | 5 | 6 | 73 | 42 | 31 | 74 |
3 | Barcelona | 34 | 22 | 7 | 5 | 70 | 43 | 27 | 73 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 34 | 21 | 4 | 9 | 63 | 39 | 24 | 67 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 34 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 55 | 33 | 22 | 61 |
6 | Real Sociedad | 34 | 14 | 12 | 8 | 48 | 35 | 13 | 54 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 34 | 13 | 13 | 8 | 43 | 39 | 4 | 52 |
8 | Valencia | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 37 | 39 | -2 | 47 |
9 | Villarreal | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 56 | 58 | -2 | 45 |
10 | Getafe | 34 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 41 | 47 | -6 | 43 |
11 | AlavesAlaves | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 32 | 38 | -6 | 41 |
12 | Sevilla | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 45 | 46 | -1 | 41 |
13 | Osasuna | 34 | 11 | 6 | 17 | 37 | 51 | -14 | 39 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 30 | 43 | -13 | 37 |
15 | Celta Vigo | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 40 | 52 | -12 | 34 |
16 | Rayo Vallecano | 34 | 7 | 13 | 14 | 27 | 43 | -16 | 34 |
17 | Mallorca | 34 | 6 | 14 | 14 | 27 | 40 | -13 | 32 |
18 | CadizCadiz | 34 | 4 | 14 | 16 | 23 | 49 | -26 | 26 |
19 | Granada | 34 | 4 | 9 | 21 | 36 | 64 | -28 | 21 |
R | Almeria | 34 | 2 | 11 | 21 | 33 | 67 | -34 | 17 |
> La Liga Full Table |