Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vissel Kobe win with a probability of 36.59%. A win for Sagan Tosu had a probability of 36% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vissel Kobe win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.95%) and 0-2 (6.56%). The likeliest Sagan Tosu win was 1-0 (10.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.97%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vissel Kobe would win this match.
