MX23RW : Thursday, May 9 18:01:58| >> :60:238:238:
New Zealand national football team
Friendlies 2
Oct 13, 2023 at 5pm UK
Westpac Stadium
Congo DR national football team

New Zealand
1 - 1
Congo DR

Wood (90+1' pen.)
Pijnaker (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Bakambu (46')
Diangana (68')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's friendly clash between New Zealand and Congo DR, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Qatar 0-1 New Zealand
Monday, June 19 at 5pm in International Friendlies
All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: South Africa 1-0 Congo DR
Tuesday, September 12 at 4pm in International Friendlies

We said: New Zealand 1-2 Congo DR

Even without several key men, Congo DR have plenty of quality throughout their squad, and on the back of a dominant campaign with World Cup Qualifying to build towards, we fancy them to come out on top against the All Whites in Spain. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New Zealand win with a probability of 55.06%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Congo DR had a probability of 20.89%.

The most likely scoreline for a New Zealand win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.27%) and 2-1 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.43%), while for a Congo DR win it was 0-1 (6.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.

Result
New ZealandDrawCongo DR
55.06% (-0.412 -0.41) 24.05% (0.172 0.17) 20.89% (0.239 0.24)
Both teams to score 49.83% (-0.181 -0.18)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.08% (-0.416 -0.42)50.91% (0.415 0.41)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.21% (-0.367 -0.37)72.79% (0.367 0.37)
New Zealand Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.62% (-0.309 -0.31)18.37% (0.309 0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.5% (-0.526 -0.53)49.5% (0.526 0.53)
Congo DR Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.04% (0.009999999999998 0.01)38.95% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.32% (0.009999999999998 0.01)75.68% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    New Zealand 55.05%
    Congo DR 20.89%
    Draw 24.05%
New ZealandDrawCongo DR
1-0 @ 12.12% (0.08 0.08)
2-0 @ 10.27% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
2-1 @ 9.69% (-0.029 -0.03)
3-0 @ 5.8% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)
3-1 @ 5.47% (-0.071000000000001 -0.07)
3-2 @ 2.58% (-0.032 -0.03)
4-0 @ 2.46% (-0.058 -0.06)
4-1 @ 2.32% (-0.054 -0.05)
4-2 @ 1.09% (-0.025 -0.02)
Other @ 3.26%
Total : 55.05%
1-1 @ 11.43% (0.08 0.08)
0-0 @ 7.16% (0.118 0.12)
2-2 @ 4.57% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 0.9%
Total : 24.05%
0-1 @ 6.75% (0.113 0.11)
1-2 @ 5.39% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
0-2 @ 3.18% (0.055 0.06)
1-3 @ 1.69% (0.013 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.44% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 1% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 1.44%
Total : 20.89%

How you voted: New Zealand vs Congo DR

New Zealand
15.0%
Draw
25.0%
Congo DR
60.0%
20
rhs 2.0
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