MX23RW : Monday, May 13 20:59:06| >> :60:2742:2742:
Malta national football team
Friendlies 2
Sep 6, 2023 at 7pm UK
Ta'Qali National Stadium
Gibraltar national football team

Malta
1 - 0
Gibraltar

Mbong (58')
Pepe (27')
FT(HT: 0-0)

De Barr (36'), Mark Pieter Hartman (38')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's friendly clash between Malta and Gibraltar, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Malta

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Ukraine 1-0 Malta
Monday, June 19 at 5pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Gibraltar

All competitions
Last Game: Rep. Ireland 3-0 Gibraltar
Monday, June 19 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

We said: Malta 1-1 Gibraltar

 Both nations have experienced challenging Euro 2024 qualifiers so far this year, but they will enter Wednesday's friendly clash fancying their chances of securing a rare win on the international stage. However, with little to separate these two teams, we believe that the spoils will be shared in a low-scoring draw in Ta' Qali. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malta win with a probability of 76.78%. A draw had a probability of 14.4% and a win for Gibraltar had a probability of 8.84%.

The most likely scoreline for a Malta win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.83%) and 2-1 (8.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.7%), while for a Gibraltar win it was 1-2 (2.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Malta would win this match.

Result
MaltaDrawGibraltar
76.78% (-0.986 -0.99) 14.38% (0.391 0.39) 8.84% (0.6 0.6)
Both teams to score 51.31% (1.353 1.35)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.2% (0.25999999999999 0.26)32.8% (-0.255 -0.26)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.51% (0.3 0.3)54.49% (-0.295 -0.3)
Malta Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
93% (-0.13600000000001 -0.14)7% (0.14 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
74.38% (-0.367 -0.37)25.61% (0.371 0.37)
Gibraltar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.17% (1.534 1.53)44.82% (-1.53 -1.53)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.21% (1.209 1.21)80.79% (-1.203 -1.2)
Score Analysis
    Malta 76.78%
    Gibraltar 8.84%
    Draw 14.38%
MaltaDrawGibraltar
2-0 @ 11.09% (-0.32 -0.32)
3-0 @ 9.83% (-0.356 -0.36)
2-1 @ 8.9% (0.125 0.13)
1-0 @ 8.34% (-0.177 -0.18)
3-1 @ 7.89% (0.052 0.05)
4-0 @ 6.54% (-0.291 -0.29)
4-1 @ 5.25% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
5-0 @ 3.48% (-0.183 -0.18)
3-2 @ 3.17% (0.153 0.15)
5-1 @ 2.79% (-0.024 -0.02)
4-2 @ 2.11% (0.087 0.09)
6-0 @ 1.54% (-0.093 -0.09)
6-1 @ 1.24% (-0.019 -0.02)
5-2 @ 1.12% (0.038 0.04)
Other @ 3.5%
Total : 76.78%
1-1 @ 6.7% (0.143 0.14)
2-2 @ 3.57% (0.198 0.2)
0-0 @ 3.14% (-0.042 -0.04)
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 14.38%
1-2 @ 2.69% (0.167 0.17)
0-1 @ 2.52% (0.073 0.07)
0-2 @ 1.01% (0.07 0.07)
2-3 @ 0.96% (0.09 0.09)
Other @ 1.67%
Total : 8.84%

How you voted: Malta vs Gibraltar

Malta
78.1%
Draw
12.5%
Gibraltar
9.4%
32
Head to Head
Oct 7, 2020 5pm
Friendlies 2
Malta
2-0
Gibraltar
Nwoko (8'), Caruana (90')
Borg (57'), Muscatt (71'), Montebello (83')

Badr Hassan (68'), Sergeant (68'), Wiseman (71'), (83')
Mar 26, 2020 6pm
International Friendlies
Malta
P-P
Gibraltar
rhs 2.0
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