Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage
Mar 24, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
We said: Gibraltar 0-3 Greece
There have been occasions when Gibraltar have impressed on familiar territory, claiming draws or pushing established nations hard in defeat. However, Greece appear to have turned over a new leaf under Poyet, leading us to predict a one-sided victory for the visitors.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Greece win with a probability of 76.45%. A draw had a probability of 17% and a win for Gibraltar had a probability of 6.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a Greece win was 0-2 with a probability of 17.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (16.33%) and 0-3 (12.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (7.74%), while for a Gibraltar win it was 1-0 (3.46%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-3 win for Greece in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Greece.
| Result |
| Gibraltar | Draw | Greece |
6.59% ( -0.3) | 16.97% ( -0.17) | 76.45% ( 0.47) |
| Both teams to score 31.71% ( -0.91) |
| 47.13% ( -0.35) | 52.87% ( 0.35) |
| 25.52% ( -0.3) | 74.48% ( 0.3) |
| 36.08% ( -1.05) | 63.92% ( 1.05) |
