FA Cup | Third Round
Jan 8, 2022 at 3pm UK
St. James' Park
Newcastle0 - 1Cambridge
We said: Newcastle United 3-0 Cambridge United
The travelling Cambridge support will relish the opportunity to witness their side step foot onto Premier League turf, but any joy of the occasion will likely be extinguished when the Magpies hit their stride. With Howe's side potentially welcoming back their COVID-affected crop, the irrepressible Saint-Maximin and buoyed by news of fresh faces in the squad, we are backing the Magpies to get the job done in convincing fashion. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 41.57%. A win for Cambridge United had a probability of 35.01% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.91%) and 2-0 (5.77%). The likeliest Cambridge United win was 1-2 (7.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.47%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Newcastle United | Draw | Cambridge United |
| 41.57% | 23.42% | 35.01% |
| Both teams to score 63.32% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
