MX23RW : Wednesday, May 8 07:23:56| >> :120:33172:33172:
Romania national football team
Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage
Mar 28, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
 
Belarus national football team

Romania
2 - 1
Belarus

Stanciu (17'), Burca (19')
Stanciu (62'), Popescu (74'), Cicaldau (66')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Morozov (86')
Malkevich (49'), Ebong (55'), Khadarkevich (63')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Euro Champ Qualifying clash between Romania and Belarus, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Andorra 0-2 Romania
Saturday, March 25 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Belarus 0-5 Switzerland
Saturday, March 25 at 5pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

We said: Romania 2-0 Belarus

While Belarus should be safe from succumbing to another thrashing, Romania will sense an excellent opportunity to lay down a marker for an automatic qualifying spot in Group I, and we are struggling beyond to see another routine victory for them after dispatching Andorra in their opening match. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Romania win with a probability of 62.93%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Belarus had a probability of 14.26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Romania win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.31%) and 2-1 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.5%), while for a Belarus win it was 0-1 (5.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Romania would win this match.

Result
RomaniaDrawBelarus
62.93% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09) 22.81% (0.227 0.23) 14.26% (-0.136 -0.14)
Both teams to score 41.37% (-0.89700000000001 -0.9)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.32% (-1.043 -1.04)55.68% (1.045 1.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.17% (-0.859 -0.86)76.83% (0.86199999999999 0.86)
Romania Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.74% (-0.402 -0.4)17.26% (0.404 0.4)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.42% (-0.71 -0.71)47.58% (0.713 0.71)
Belarus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
50% (-0.836 -0.84)50% (0.837 0.84)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.34% (-0.584 -0.58)84.66% (0.587 0.59)
Score Analysis
    Romania 62.92%
    Belarus 14.26%
    Draw 22.8%
RomaniaDrawBelarus
1-0 @ 15.16% (0.41 0.41)
2-0 @ 13.31% (0.18 0.18)
2-1 @ 9.23% (-0.095000000000001 -0.1)
3-0 @ 7.8% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-1 @ 5.41% (-0.129 -0.13)
4-0 @ 3.43% (-0.044 -0.04)
4-1 @ 2.37% (-0.089 -0.09)
3-2 @ 1.87% (-0.092 -0.09)
5-0 @ 1.2% (-0.032 -0.03)
Other @ 3.14%
Total : 62.92%
1-1 @ 10.5% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 8.63% (0.343 0.34)
2-2 @ 3.2% (-0.112 -0.11)
Other @ 0.47%
Total : 22.8%
0-1 @ 5.98% (0.097 0.1)
1-2 @ 3.64% (-0.077 -0.08)
0-2 @ 2.07% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 14.26%

How you voted: Romania vs Belarus

Romania
84.4%
Draw
8.6%
Belarus
7.0%
128
Head to Head
Nov 11, 2020 5pm
Friendlies 1
Romania
5-3
Belarus
Mitrea (11'), Marin (20' pen.), Nedelcearu (31', 55'), Puscas (44')
Bicfalvi (71'), Mitrea (75')
Kendysh (63'), Bakhar (80'), Klimovich (90+2')
Naumov (19'), Bakhar (90+1')
rhs 2.0
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