MX23RW : Wednesday, May 8 14:22:14| >> :120:11477:11477:
Andorra national football team
Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage
Mar 25, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
 
Romania national football team

Andorra
0 - 2
Romania


Llovera (12'), Rebes (59')
Rebes (61')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Man (34'), Alibec (49')
Marin (23'), Popescu (78'), Dragusin (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Euro Champ Qualifying clash between Andorra and Romania, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Last Game: Gibraltar 1-0 Andorra
Saturday, November 19 at 5pm in International Friendlies
All competitions
Last Game: Moldova 0-5 Romania
Sunday, November 20 at 6.30pm in International Friendlies

We said: Andorra 0-2 Romania

There were plenty of positive signs for Andorra in 2022, but those positive signs should not translate into a shock win against a side sitting over 100 places higher than them in the standings. Romania are a far cry from the force they once were and cannot expect to find the back of the net at will, but the visitors should still encounter few roadblocks en route to an opening triumph. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Romania win with a probability of 69.18%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for Andorra had a probability of 12.18%.

The most likely scoreline for a Romania win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.31%) and 1-2 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.87%), while for an Andorra win it was 1-0 (4.09%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Romania in this match.

Result
AndorraDrawRomania
12.18% (-0.067 -0.07) 18.64% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04) 69.18% (0.10900000000001 0.11)
Both teams to score 48.13% (-0.086000000000006 -0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.65% (0.00099999999999767 0)43.35% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.25% (0.00099999999999767 0)65.75% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Andorra Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.33% (-0.114 -0.11)45.67% (0.12 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.54% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)81.47% (0.094000000000008 0.09)
Romania Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.59% (0.033999999999992 0.03)11.41% (-0.026999999999999 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.82% (0.064999999999998 0.06)36.18% (-0.058999999999997 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Andorra 12.19%
    Romania 69.17%
    Draw 18.64%
AndorraDrawRomania
1-0 @ 4.09% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-1 @ 3.47% (-0.019 -0.02)
2-0 @ 1.6% (-0.01 -0.01)
3-2 @ 0.99% (-0.007 -0.01)
3-1 @ 0.91% (-0.007 -0.01)
Other @ 1.13%
Total : 12.19%
1-1 @ 8.87% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
0-0 @ 5.21% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-2 @ 3.77% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 18.64%
0-2 @ 12.27% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-1 @ 11.31% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
1-2 @ 9.62% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
0-3 @ 8.88% (0.031999999999998 0.03)
1-3 @ 6.96% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-4 @ 4.82% (0.023000000000001 0.02)
1-4 @ 3.78% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.73% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-5 @ 2.09% (0.012 0.01)
1-5 @ 1.64% (0.004 0)
2-4 @ 1.48% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.59%
Total : 69.17%

How you voted: Andorra vs Romania

Andorra
11.1%
Draw
6.2%
Romania
82.7%
81
rhs 2.0
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