Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Galatasaray win with a probability of 49.19%. A win for Lazio had a probability of 27.87% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Galatasaray win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.91%) and 2-0 (7.18%). The likeliest Lazio win was 1-2 (6.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Galatasaray would win this match.
