Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Empoli win with a probability of 47.43%. A win for Lazio had a probability of 29.52% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Empoli win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.58%) and 2-0 (6.79%). The likeliest Lazio win was 1-2 (7.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Empoli | Draw | Lazio |
47.43% | 23.05% | 29.52% |
Both teams to score 62.17% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.2% | 38.79% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.89% | 61.1% |
Empoli Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.31% | 16.68% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.44% | 46.56% |
Lazio Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.61% | 25.38% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.81% | 60.18% |
Score Analysis |
Empoli | Draw | Lazio |
2-1 @ 9.31% 1-0 @ 7.58% 2-0 @ 6.79% 3-1 @ 5.56% 3-0 @ 4.05% 3-2 @ 3.81% 4-1 @ 2.49% 4-0 @ 1.81% 4-2 @ 1.71% Other @ 4.32% Total : 47.43% | 1-1 @ 10.39% 2-2 @ 6.38% 0-0 @ 4.23% 3-3 @ 1.74% Other @ 0.3% Total : 23.04% | 1-2 @ 7.13% 0-1 @ 5.81% 0-2 @ 3.98% 1-3 @ 3.26% 2-3 @ 2.92% 0-3 @ 1.82% 1-4 @ 1.12% 2-4 @ 1% Other @ 2.49% Total : 29.52% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 36 | 29 | 5 | 2 | 86 | 19 | 67 | 92 |
2 | AC Milan | 37 | 22 | 8 | 7 | 73 | 46 | 27 | 74 |
3 | Bologna | 36 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 51 | 27 | 24 | 67 |
4 | Juventus | 36 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 49 | 28 | 21 | 67 |
5 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 36 | 20 | 6 | 10 | 67 | 39 | 28 | 66 |
6 | Roma | 36 | 17 | 9 | 10 | 63 | 44 | 19 | 60 |
7 | Lazio | 36 | 18 | 5 | 13 | 47 | 37 | 10 | 59 |
8 | Fiorentina | 36 | 15 | 9 | 12 | 55 | 42 | 13 | 54 |
9 | Torino | 37 | 13 | 14 | 10 | 36 | 33 | 3 | 53 |
10 | Napoli | 37 | 13 | 13 | 11 | 55 | 48 | 7 | 52 |
11 | Genoa | 36 | 11 | 13 | 12 | 43 | 44 | -1 | 46 |
12 | Monza | 36 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 39 | 48 | -9 | 45 |
13 | Lecce | 37 | 8 | 13 | 16 | 32 | 54 | -22 | 37 |
14 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 36 | 8 | 10 | 18 | 34 | 48 | -14 | 34 |
15 | Udinese | 36 | 5 | 18 | 13 | 35 | 52 | -17 | 33 |
16 | CagliariCagliari | 36 | 7 | 12 | 17 | 38 | 65 | -27 | 33 |
17 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 36 | 7 | 11 | 18 | 43 | 68 | -25 | 32 |
18 | Empoli | 36 | 8 | 8 | 20 | 26 | 52 | -26 | 32 |
19 | SassuoloSassuolo | 36 | 7 | 8 | 21 | 42 | 72 | -30 | 29 |
R | Salernitana | 36 | 2 | 10 | 24 | 28 | 76 | -48 | 16 |
> Serie A Full Table |