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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitesse win with a probability of 63.91%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 14.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitesse win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.67%) and 2-1 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.21%), while for a Fortuna Sittard win it was 0-1 (5.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Fortuna Sittard in this match.
Result | ||
Vitesse | Draw | Fortuna Sittard |
63.91% ( 0.15) | 21.67% ( -0.15) | 14.42% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 44.84% ( 0.4) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.85% ( 0.55) | 51.15% ( -0.55) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27% ( 0.48) | 73% ( -0.48) |
Vitesse Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.63% ( 0.23) | 15.37% ( -0.24) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.85% ( 0.44) | 44.15% ( -0.44) |
Fortuna Sittard Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
52.98% ( 0.33) | 47.01% ( -0.33) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
17.5% ( 0.25) | 82.49% ( -0.25) |
Score Analysis |
Vitesse | Draw | Fortuna Sittard |
1-0 @ 13.53% ( -0.19) 2-0 @ 12.67% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 9.56% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 7.91% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 5.97% ( 0.07) 4-0 @ 3.7% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 2.8% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 2.25% ( 0.05) 5-0 @ 1.39% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.06% ( 0.03) 5-1 @ 1.05% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.02% Total : 63.91% | 1-1 @ 10.21% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 7.22% ( -0.16) 2-2 @ 3.61% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.62% Total : 21.66% | 0-1 @ 5.45% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 3.85% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 2.06% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 0.97% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 0.91% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.18% Total : 14.42% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | PSV EindhovenPSV | 33 | 28 | 4 | 1 | 108 | 20 | 88 | 88 |
2 | Feyenoord | 33 | 25 | 6 | 2 | 88 | 26 | 62 | 81 |
3 | FC Twente | 33 | 20 | 6 | 7 | 67 | 35 | 32 | 66 |
4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 33 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 67 | 36 | 31 | 64 |
5 | Ajax | 33 | 15 | 10 | 8 | 72 | 59 | 13 | 55 |
6 | NECNijmegen | 33 | 13 | 11 | 9 | 64 | 50 | 14 | 50 |
7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 33 | 13 | 10 | 10 | 46 | 44 | 2 | 49 |
8 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 33 | 13 | 7 | 13 | 49 | 47 | 2 | 46 |
9 | Go Ahead Eagles | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 45 | 45 | 0 | 43 |
10 | Heerenveen | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 52 | 68 | -16 | 37 |
11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 33 | 9 | 10 | 14 | 37 | 56 | -19 | 37 |
12 | PEC Zwolle | 33 | 9 | 9 | 15 | 44 | 65 | -21 | 36 |
13 | Almere CityAlmere City | 33 | 7 | 13 | 13 | 32 | 55 | -23 | 34 |
14 | Heracles | 33 | 9 | 5 | 19 | 41 | 74 | -33 | 32 |
15 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 33 | 7 | 8 | 18 | 37 | 53 | -16 | 29 |
16 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 33 | 6 | 11 | 16 | 50 | 69 | -19 | 29 |
R | FC VolendamVolendam | 33 | 4 | 7 | 22 | 33 | 86 | -53 | 19 |
R | Vitesse | 33 | 6 | 5 | 22 | 28 | 72 | -44 | 5 |
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