MX23RW : Thursday, May 9 22:03:09| >> :300:86500:86500:
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
FC Volendam
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Excelsior
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Vitesse
NEC
Eredivisie | Gameweek 16
Dec 15, 2023 at 7pm UK
Sportpark De Weeren
Fortuna Sittard

Nijmegen
4 - 1
Sittard

Mattsson (33', 70'), Ogawa (45+2'), Hansen (75')
Proper (16'), Tavsan (42'), Schone (86')
Hoedemakers (49')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Sierhuis (69')
Guth (53'), Pinto (83')
Noslin (24')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Eredivisie clash between NEC and Fortuna Sittard, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

NEC

All competitions
Last Game: PEC Zwolle 1-3 Nijmegen
Saturday, December 9 at 7pm in Eredivisie

Fortuna Sittard

All competitions
Last Game: Sittard 1-0 RKC Waalwijk
Sunday, December 10 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

We said: NEC 2-1 Fortuna Sittard

 NEC were impressive in their away wins at Alkmaar and Zwolle over the past week, meaning the hosts on Friday will be confident of recording another maximum. Sittard have been woeful on the road, and despite back-to-back victories at the start of the month, we cannot imagine the visitors earning anything from their trip to Goffertstadion. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NEC win with a probability of 52.01%. A win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 25.43% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a NEC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.24%) and 2-0 (7.72%). The likeliest Fortuna Sittard win was 1-2 (6.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.3%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that NEC would win this match.

Result
NECDrawFortuna Sittard
52.01% (0.263 0.26) 22.55% (-0.094000000000001 -0.09) 25.43% (-0.169 -0.17)
Both teams to score 60.39% (0.16 0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.4% (0.288 0.29)39.59% (-0.288 -0.29)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.05% (0.3 0.3)61.94% (-0.299 -0.3)
NEC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.65% (0.193 0.19)15.35% (-0.193 -0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.89% (0.361 0.36)44.11% (-0.36 -0.36)
Fortuna Sittard Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.34% (0.024999999999991 0.02)28.66% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.53% (0.031000000000006 0.03)64.47% (-0.031000000000006 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    NEC 52.01%
    Fortuna Sittard 25.43%
    Draw 22.55%
NECDrawFortuna Sittard
2-1 @ 9.65% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-0 @ 8.24% (-0.055 -0.05)
2-0 @ 7.72%
3-1 @ 6.03% (0.045 0.04)
3-0 @ 4.83% (0.032 0.03)
3-2 @ 3.77% (0.03 0.03)
4-1 @ 2.83% (0.039 0.04)
4-0 @ 2.26% (0.03 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.77% (0.026 0.03)
5-1 @ 1.06% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 3.85%
Total : 52.01%
1-1 @ 10.3% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06)
2-2 @ 6.03% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.4% (-0.059 -0.06)
3-3 @ 1.57% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 22.55%
1-2 @ 6.44% (-0.034 -0.03)
0-1 @ 5.5% (-0.069999999999999 -0.07)
0-2 @ 3.43% (-0.042 -0.04)
1-3 @ 2.68% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.51% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-3 @ 1.43% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 3.44%
Total : 25.43%

How you voted: Nijmegen vs Sittard

NEC
68.2%
Draw
22.7%
Fortuna Sittard
9.1%
22
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> Preview
Oct 2, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 7
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> Preview
Feb 23, 2018 7pm
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1-1
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Groeneveld (82')
Sturing (57'), Dijkstra (63')
Cantwell (78')
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rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CPSV EindhovenPSV322831107198887
2Feyenoord32246285246178
3FC Twente32196760332763
4AZ AlkmaarAZ32187764362861
5Ajax321410869591052
6NECNijmegen321311862471550
7FC UtrechtUtrecht32131094643349
8Go Ahead Eagles321110114542343
9Sparta RotterdamSparta32127134847143
10Heerenveen32107155165-1437
11Fortuna SittardSittard3299143655-1936
12PEC Zwolle3298154364-2135
13Almere CityAlmere City32713123252-2034
14Heracles3295184170-2932
15RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk3277183652-1628
16SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior32511164669-2326
RFC VolendamVolendam3247213179-4819
RVitesse3255222571-462
> Eredivisie Full Table


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