MX23RW : Sunday, May 19 18:11:33| >> :300:86500:86500:
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
FC Volendam
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Excelsior
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Vitesse
NEC
Eredivisie | Gameweek 15
Jan 8, 2023 at 1.30pm UK
Goffertstadion
Ajax

Nijmegen
1 - 1
Ajax

Dimata (52')
Marquez (88')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Klaassen (38')
Sanchez (50'), Rensch (58'), Conceicao (69')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between NEC and Ajax, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Nijmegen 6-1 RKC Waalwijk
Sunday, November 13 at 11.15am in Eredivisie
Last Game: Ajax 5-4 Volendam
Wednesday, December 7 at 11am in Club Friendlies 1

We said: NEC 1-3 Ajax

Ajax have enjoyed the better of this fixture to a large degree, and it is hard to envisage any other outcome rather than a victory for them. We are tipping the visitors to cruise to a relatively comfortable triumph at the end of the 90 minutes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 71.1%. A draw had a probability of 15.6% and a win for NEC had a probability of 13.25%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (8.08%) and 0-2 (7.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.43%), while for a NEC win it was 2-1 (3.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.

Result
NECDrawAjax
13.25% (1.629 1.63) 15.64% (1.273 1.27) 71.1% (-2.897 -2.9)
Both teams to score 63.59% (-0.106 -0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
74.44% (-2.237 -2.24)25.56% (2.242 2.24)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
54.35% (-2.954 -2.95)45.65% (2.959 2.96)
NEC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.96% (0.60599999999999 0.61)32.04% (-0.599 -0.6)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.49% (0.682 0.68)68.5% (-0.67699999999999 -0.68)
Ajax Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
93.57% (-0.992 -0.99)6.42% (0.996 1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
75.95% (-2.81 -2.81)24.05% (2.816 2.82)
Score Analysis
    NEC 13.25%
    Ajax 71.1%
    Draw 15.64%
NECDrawAjax
2-1 @ 3.66% (0.424 0.42)
1-0 @ 2.34% (0.359 0.36)
3-2 @ 1.91% (0.147 0.15)
3-1 @ 1.39% (0.181 0.18)
2-0 @ 1.33% (0.223 0.22)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 13.25%
1-1 @ 6.43% (0.651 0.65)
2-2 @ 5.02% (0.31 0.31)
0-0 @ 2.06% (0.286 0.29)
3-3 @ 1.74% (0.035 0.03)
Other @ 0.39%
Total : 15.64%
1-2 @ 8.83% (0.408 0.41)
1-3 @ 8.08% (-0.1 -0.1)
0-2 @ 7.75% (0.235 0.24)
0-3 @ 7.1% (-0.207 -0.21)
0-1 @ 5.65% (0.488 0.49)
1-4 @ 5.54% (-0.413 -0.41)
0-4 @ 4.87% (-0.449 -0.45)
2-3 @ 4.6% (0.019 0.02)
2-4 @ 3.16% (-0.18 -0.18)
1-5 @ 3.04% (-0.428 -0.43)
0-5 @ 2.68% (-0.426 -0.43)
2-5 @ 1.73% (-0.211 -0.21)
1-6 @ 1.39% (-0.293 -0.29)
0-6 @ 1.22% (-0.282 -0.28)
3-4 @ 1.2% (-0.048 -0.05)
Other @ 4.27%
Total : 71.1%

How you voted: Nijmegen vs Ajax

NEC
4.8%
Draw
11.9%
Ajax
83.3%
42
Head to Head
Apr 23, 2022 3.30pm
Nijmegen
0-1
Ajax

Schone (55'), Guth (59')
Brobbey (88')
Blind (53')
Aug 14, 2021 8pm
Ajax
5-0
Nijmegen
Haller (5'), Mazraoui (9'), Van Rooij (13' og.), Tadic (19', 38')
Apr 8, 2017 6.45pm
Nijmegen
1-5
Ajax
Kadioglu (54')
Breinburg (5' og.), Neres (8'), Traore (32', 60'), Ziyech (78')
van de Beek (72')
Nov 20, 2016 1.30pm
Ajax
5-0
Nijmegen
Dolberg (19', 24', 37'), Traore (55'), Schone (57')

von Haacke (37'), Golla (39'), Dyrestam (52')
Mar 13, 2016 3.45pm
Ajax
2-2
Nijmegen
Milik (16'), Van Eijden (51' og.)
Foor (19'), Grot (80')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CPSV EindhovenPSV342941111219091
2Feyenoord34266292266684
3FC Twente34216769363369
4AZ AlkmaarAZ34198770393165
5Ajax341511874611356
6NECNijmegen341411968511753
7FC UtrechtUtrecht341311104947250
8Sparta RotterdamSparta34147135148349
9Go Ahead Eagles341210124746146
10Fortuna SittardSittard34911143756-1938
11Heerenveen34107175370-1737
12PEC Zwolle3499164567-2236
13Almere CityAlmere City34713143359-2634
14Heracles3496194174-3333
15RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk3478193856-1829
16SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior34611175073-2329
RFC VolendamVolendam3447233488-5419
RVitesse3466223074-446


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