MX23RW : Sunday, May 19 18:50:27| >> :300:86500:86500:
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
FC Volendam
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Excelsior
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Vitesse
NEC
Eredivisie | Gameweek 9
Oct 8, 2022 at 8pm UK
Goffertstadion
Excelsior

Nijmegen
1 - 1
Excelsior

Dimata (59')
Marquez (81'), Tannane (89')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Lamprou (88')
Seymor (22'), Baas (74'), van Duinen (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between NEC and SBV Excelsior, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Nijmegen 1-1 Feyenoord
Sunday, October 2 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Excelsior 0-1 Utrecht
Sunday, October 2 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

We said: NEC 2-1 SBV Excelsior

With the teams neck and neck in the standings, we are anticipating a fairly even contest with chances at both ends. We can also see NEC just about managing to pip their visitors to all three points at the end of the 90 minutes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NEC win with a probability of 50.89%. A win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 25.27% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a NEC win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.65%) and 2-0 (8.47%). The likeliest SBV Excelsior win was 0-1 (6.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.

Result
NECDrawSBV Excelsior
50.89% (-0.090000000000003 -0.09) 23.84% (-0.031000000000002 -0.03) 25.27% (0.122 0.12)
Both teams to score 55.82% (0.23099999999999 0.23)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.43% (0.248 0.25)45.57% (-0.246 -0.25)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.1% (0.235 0.24)67.9% (-0.233 -0.23)
NEC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.06% (0.060000000000002 0.06)17.94% (-0.058 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.23% (0.10299999999999 0.1)48.77% (-0.1 -0.1)
SBV Excelsior Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.02% (0.233 0.23)31.98% (-0.231 -0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.56% (0.265 0.27)68.43% (-0.26300000000001 -0.26)
Score Analysis
    NEC 50.9%
    SBV Excelsior 25.27%
    Draw 23.83%
NECDrawSBV Excelsior
1-0 @ 9.86% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09)
2-1 @ 9.65% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 8.47% (-0.056999999999999 -0.06)
3-1 @ 5.53% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.85% (-0.023 -0.02)
3-2 @ 3.15% (0.025 0.03)
4-1 @ 2.38% (0.008 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.08% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.35% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 3.58%
Total : 50.9%
1-1 @ 11.23% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 5.74% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-2 @ 5.5% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.2% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 23.83%
0-1 @ 6.54% (-0.026999999999999 -0.03)
1-2 @ 6.41% (0.027 0.03)
0-2 @ 3.73% (0.008 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.44% (0.025 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.09% (0.026 0.03)
0-3 @ 1.42% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 25.27%

How you voted: NEC vs SBV Excelsior

NEC
66.7%
Draw
20.0%
SBV Excelsior
13.3%
15
Head to Head
Apr 9, 2021 7pm
SBV Excelsior
2-1
NEC
Zwarts (63', 79')
Wieffer (48')
Vet (16')
Jan 8, 2021 5.45pm
NEC
3-2
SBV Excelsior
Okita (50'), Elkarouani (79'), Bruijn (86' pen.)
Odenthal (28'), Proper (42'), Okita (72'), Vet (90+5')
Zwarts (14'), Van Rooijen (17')
Wieffer (49'), Matthys (90+4')
Ormonde-Ottewill (76')
Apr 10, 2020 7pm
Dec 6, 2019 7pm
SBV Excelsior
2-1
NEC
Fischer (48'), Zwarts (73')
Ter Haar Romeny (49')
Apr 22, 2017 5.30pm
NEC
0-1
SBV Excelsior

Bikel (6'), Golla (68'), von Haacke (87')
Van Duinen (58')
de Wijs (21')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CPSV EindhovenPSV342941111219091
2Feyenoord34266292266684
3FC Twente34216769363369
4AZ AlkmaarAZ34198770393165
5Ajax341511874611356
6NECNijmegen341411968511753
7FC UtrechtUtrecht341311104947250
8Sparta RotterdamSparta34147135148349
9Go Ahead Eagles341210124746146
10Fortuna SittardSittard34911143756-1938
11Heerenveen34107175370-1737
12PEC Zwolle3499164567-2236
13Almere CityAlmere City34713143359-2634
14Heracles3496194174-3333
15RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk3478193856-1829
16SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior34611175073-2329
RFC VolendamVolendam3447233488-5419
RVitesse3466223074-446


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